stormy
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Everything posted by stormy
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It was fine, my high was 86. 5 degrees above normal but certainly nothing unusual for June 19.
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65 degrees early this morning. 5 degrees above normal. Looking ahead, it is positive to see the 597 heat dome cave to a digging trough from the Lakes by Monday. This could encourage some much needed convective activity by Sunday night or Monday.
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86 degrees at 12:45. The record high on this date in Staunton was 95 in 1921.
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Its way too early to speculate how this summer will stack up historically. The 1930's are generally accepted as the hottest decade since 1895. 1936 witnessed more than 5000 perish from heat. From NOAA:
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I must live on the dry side of town for this one! Didn't receive a drop.
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High of 79 this afternoon compared to 90 expectations from all the experts. Persistent cloud cover made a huge difference.
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Drought breeds heat..............
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Our "new climo" hasn't really changed from 60 years ago or 100 years ago. Depending on atmospheric patterns we indeed witness almost daily occurrences of convection. Otherwise, high and dry. For a real mind trip, revisit the summer of 1963.
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47.7 degrees at 6:15. That's 10 degrees below normal.
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My low was 48.4 at 6 am. Augusta, Alleghany, Bath,Highland and Garrett Md. all reported some 40's. Garrett only expecting 70-75 today compared to my 76-81.
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The 18 z Nam Nest 3 k is actually colder in Augusta than Garrett at 47 degrees at 6 am. It will be interesting as 10 degrees below normal on June 8 is noteworthy.
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The 18z GFS has lost interest.
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Op. GFS brings first heat wave June 16 - 22. GEFS not interested.
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.77" last 20 hrs. The first decent rainfall since May 18. I have averaged drier than normal for the past 3.5 years since January of 2021. During this period I have received 122.6" rain and melted snow. Normal would have been 141.7". 19.1 inches below average precipitation since January of 2021.
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I'll do better in the future, especially for you. Please forgive me.
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Finally the CPC agrees with the GEFS, GFS, ECM, ECM Weeklies, GEM and CMC ensembles that the next 6 - 10 days will average cooler than normal.
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oh,yes........................ You are well advised to correct your math error................................ Have a great afternoon!
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41 degrees this morning. The coolest June 1 in 40 years! In 1984 it was 39.
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39 at 6:30 (in Augusta County), 31 at Davis W.Va., 24.9 at the Va. Tech. station in Canaan Valley.
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I would think that everyone including you knows that I live in Augusta County. Do I need to remind you with stupid reminder ???
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68 degrees at 6 pm with a northwest wind of 10 - 15 mph. More like October 1.
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48 degrees at 5:45. Average low for May 29 is 55. GFS, ECM and GEM say cooler than normal for the next 10 days. The CPC says warmer than normal. What gives here??
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20/20 Vision
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1.44" of rain last night. The most from any single event since January 27 when 1.47" fell !!
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When the Watch was issued this morning, I flashed it in my newsletter with an advisory that the blend had diminished overnight from 1.02" down to .86" thru 00z 11-20. Who is correct at this hour, the models or the mets. at Sterling???? No contest.......... But 2 am has not arrived.............
