Brian5671

our town sent out a memo stating it's not a town event so they don't have the authority to move it, so it's on at the discretion of individual neighborhoods...if a neighborhood wants to move it fine, but otherwise it's game on. Models look like we might get a break in the rain around go time anyway, wouldn't be too bad going out with temps in the upper 60's to near 70....on a separate topic-I would think in this day and age of over the top "safety" and "protecting our kids from danger" they would have moved it to the last Sat or Sun of the month as a regular thing-less people rushing home from work, driving fast, kids out on a school night etc....but that's never happened.

drizzle fest here too from about 10am on....never let up.

especially the south facing beaches...I'd say those are the favored spots

good thing the squall line comes through after Halloween evening....that would not be fun to be hit by that!

generally over done though if you look at the past 5 years....

chop those by 20-25% Euro is often over-done on winds

same here in the burbs. Hundreds of kids here. There was some talk of moving it to the last Sat or Sun of Oct-too many people rushing home from work during the week, driving fast etc but it never got off the ground.

12Z NAM valid 8pm Halloween-gives hope that most areas will be rain free for awhile:

that's usually when it starts around here. Models showing a break in the precip late day and evening, let's hope that holds....I have 2 10 year olds- it's never rained for them

I often wonder when it's an overnight event if they downplay due to it being a lower impact time of day....

looks like we may luck on Halloween with a break in the showers in the evening (main line comes overnight and WAA showers are in the morning/ early afternoon)

have to hope one's local neighborhood gets a break in the evening-doesn't look like a steady stratiform rain....

PWATS on the euro are just over 2 inches on Halloween...looks like a showery/humid day/eve unfortunately

cleared out here-mostly sunny now and 61

incredible 2 hour rain rates here-back edge approaching but guessing we had 2 inchee for the event here.

might be a nice sunset for eastern folks with the sun hitting the clouds off to the east

back edge of the precip already past State College PA-definitely moving fast...

what do you see to change it at least in the short term?

use the GFS at one's own risk. Euro and its ensembles are the way to go...until I see cold there forget about it. Still waiting for a frost here. Had some scattered frost a couple of mornings but still hearing crickets and the annuals are still going

I was talking about Halloween-I'll edit my post to make it clearer

I tend to agree-PWATS on the Euro touch 2 inches

euro is is very different for halloween a bit unsettled but minimal amounts of rain

GFS a drencher for Sunday 1-2 inches region wide

Fantasy....

doesn't look like a washout but maybe a bit unsettled.