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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    PAC air has completely dominated the pattern....
  2. Brian5671
    unlikely. Every telly is against us and doesn't look to change anytime soon. Snowless and likely sunless coming up
  3. Brian5671
    we'll put a dent in that Friday and Saturday. We'll see how hot we can get last 10 days-if that AO goes super positive again we could roast.
  4. Brian5671
    the PV strengthening over the pole will seal our fate for any cold/snow
  5. Brian5671
    there's not much cold in Europe-they are also having a historically warm winter
  6. Brian5671
    it's just that it will feel bitter after the warmth of the last 7 weeks
  7. Brian5671
    no leaf buds here-but some daffodils stalks have pushed through a bit.
  8. Brian5671
    No cold air....
  9. Brian5671
    I remember it well. A 4 inch snowstorm was like a HECS back then. (hell, this year a 1 inch storm would be a HECS) just days of gloom and light rain
  10. Brian5671
    this is one difference from the mild winters of 01-02 and 11-12-those came with dry/sunny days for basically weeks on end
  11. Brian5671
    great year for VT/NH/ME ski resorts. I'm heading to Okemo in March-hoping the snows continue for another month
  12. Brian5671
    almost comical at this point
  13. Brian5671
    BDR here has 10-11 inches which is amazing given the horrid pattern...we got 4 in the Jan storm and some smaller stuff in early December
  14. Brian5671
    upton has us near 50 on Thursday....
  15. Brian5671
    yep know when to hold em and when to throw them. When models backed off the late Jan pattern change about a week out, that's when I threw in the towel personally.
  16. Brian5671
    it's the CFS so take it for what's it worth....(or any model 2 months out)
  17. Brian5671
    Borrowed from JB's post this AM-but the CFS for April-here comes winter! -
  18. Brian5671
    No cold high to the north is the other issue here
  19. Brian5671
    The 80's had some incredible cold shots. Alot of cold with bare ground back then as it was hard to get anything to line up with a storm (+NAO/AO pattern then) We've seen none of that the past 2 years. I did tell my kids the same thing this AM when they asked why it hasn't snowed much...I said, "welcome to my childhood"!
  20. Brian5671
    nothing to support a snowstorm-every telly remains unfavorable.
  21. Brian5671
    if the seasonal trend is any indicator-those projected temps will warm as we get closer
  22. Brian5671
    same ol pattern-any cold shot either doesn't happen or moderates as it gets closer in time. GFS/GEFS terrible with the LR cold bias. Best to stick with Euro/EPS
  23. Brian5671
    not a bad look-if (big if) we can get on the right side of the gradient b/w the SE ridge and the cold air, the storm track could work for us-models show the corridor from TX to NE to be wetter than normal next few weeks.
  24. Brian5671
    the third reason is the AO/NAO-I wonder if either the MJO or the PV influenced that at all?
  25. Brian5671
    that warm water N of Australia was a warning shot that our winter was going to have issues (warm water would point to the MJO wanting to go back to 5/6 which it has now done twice)
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