Agreed I'd never spend money on a beach house in the northeast this time of year. Have to get to at least 6/20 for best weather and like you said 7/4....ocean's warm by then too.
New NAM has a low right into NYC Sunday-so maybe Monday will be the salvage day which is good for parades and BBQ's. Inches of rain for many here b/w Friday night and Sunday night
I checked out the ensembles a few very wet members, many dry.
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Is there any blocking to keep this closer to the coast? Otherwise I'd agree on an east trend
RGEM further south and lighter amts but still a good drink-some differences in timing-NAM/EURO have rain later Friday vs the GFS/RGEM which are about 6 hrs earlier.
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Just turned 50. Can't drink nearly as much as I could even 5 yrs ago. Agree the hangover the next day isn't worth it-weekends are short enough even on a good day