there was not much snow winter of 19-20. There was a snow even around 1/20/20 that dropped a few inches-I think that was the last storm of that winter.
We have about 10-15 days. If a decent pattern doesn't show up by then, it's probably not going to. Basing this on other ratter winters like 01-02, 11-12 where the crappy pattern just continued on and on. At least we had great springs those years.
It's been mostly rough sledding since the epic March 2018 pattern. Feb 2021 had 3-4 good weeks outside of that it's been some good storms but no longer lasting pattern
Even worse here-Late Jan 2022 with the system that crushed LI and coastal Jersey-we had 7 inches here. We had snow Superbowl Sunday but roads were wet.
We're down to hoping for a fluky storm like some of our worst winters had.....this one is DOA-last night's Euro EPS going to what the GFS has was the final nail...
If the pattern doesn't flip by end of January it usually doesn't. Exceptions of course like 06-07 but for the most part winter is a dud if it's warm and snowless through Dec/Jan