Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Part of the issue is that everyone went hysterical on the big season so the expectations are high...Even a busy season does not alway equate to landfalls... and the cold/snowy forecasts are a staple from certain forecasters-just have to see through the hype....Last winter even remotely cold snowy was 20-21...and even that was a great 3 week stretch and not the whole winter or anything close to it.
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Season doesn't really get going til August. That said, the Nina is not going crazy so that could lead to a reduced # of storms.
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Night time warm front coming and it's already juicy out...I'll bet we all get something
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Often seems that it ends up N and E of the initial forecasts as well...
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models are awful-the 12z 3K NAM-has nothing over eastern LI yet it's pouring
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That was so overhyped like 95% of tropical systems here.
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SE NJ always seems to be a hot spot for showers and T-storms.
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Steady rain has moved in here
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models all over the place with the placement of rains-RGEM has almost nothing while the 12K NAM is very wet
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NAM way east with it.
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Nice break from the soup today and give the AC a rest
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The break from the big heat was nice the last few days
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Took Upton a long time to reduce the rain chances-they stuck with a bullish forecast too long. We got an inch here Monday night but other than that almost nothing.
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I'll pass
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models are terrible with this-they have none of action that's going on down by PHL
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2 rain free weekends in a row!
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Radar doesnt look great for much today-looks south and north
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Kind of like Wind advisories in the winter-most seem to bust then you get a big wind event out of nowhere
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Upton's forecast looks way too bullish based on model output
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Close to 7 inches here for the month but we have gotten hammered every time-had over an inch last night
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it's partly sunny here
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yep sun angle is still quite high-within a couple days here it's dried out and we have gotten absolutely hammered here with rains this month
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Not done for sure-remember last year-the hottest weather was early Sept.
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alot of moisture headed north especially later next week
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more torrential rain here
