Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Sad. It will be ice with some loose granular at best
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Got to take off the snow goggles-3 of the last 4 years have not been great.
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This. It's been mostly LR fantasy this year...
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I'm in the over camp as well. Sure we'll get a window end of month/early Feb but I'd bet is underwhelming and likely a cutter track due to persistence of the pattern
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The Jan thread over there is a comical trainwreck...reality is setting in, it's not happening. MJO skipped right over 8 and 1....so we have a small window...maybe
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FIXED
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plan on historic cold/snow then
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FWIW JB went low on snow-predicted less than 15 inches for NYC. Barring a miracle that looks like a good call....
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good pattern for cold or snow? I don't think the snow part is written in stone-could be cold/cutter/cold/cutter pattern
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No one posted but the NAM is closer with Sunday's snows....that same WAR is pushing this a bit west
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Nothing like wasting the coldest climo on well above normal temps and rainstorm after rainstorm
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11-12 too-that was a virtual carbon copy of 01-02 even with the sole snowstorm occurring around 1/20
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Danbury CT up through Litchfield Cty does best for snow-we do ok here but we're 5 miles from LI sound so that taints some storms
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It was also rainless-i think most months had less than an inch of precip and some less than .50
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and any changes are still in the long range so not much to get excited about next 10 day minimum
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Cosgrove saves winter!
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it's amazing people get so bent out of shape...there's nothing anyone can do about it and there's certainly more important things in life....
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I have held off booking a VT trip so far. Don't want to pay big bucks for the family and have 01-02 type conditions. (I have the epic pass for a west coast trip so that helps)
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This is a new wildcards as well last couple of winters-makes alot of analogs from colder periods not as reliable. I also heard a rule of thumb that when the SST's are above normal off the east coast, "hit and hold" cold is less likely.
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Jump on. It's a great life-nothing to shovel, lower heating bills, no snow days to make up and no losing sleep over 200 hr 0z Euro runs...
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The warning signs were there. The intial runs in late Nov were great but then future runs started showing the blocking too far south and linking up with the SE ridge at times. (which is exactly what happened in the end)
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Wow if that happens
