JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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I saw some on the Philly board saying that after the 20-24th potential window that might be it for snow this season. -
Why would they be trolling here instead of tricking kids streaming on twitch into deleting system 32 or pouring milk into their routers?
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This right here, if the Outer Banks can get 12” all snow then we can get more than that with the right setup. Might not be this season though.
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Last time we went from nina to nino the dry pattern lasted until mid summer, we were having winter style fails with thunderstorm setups.
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So do you think this will be the time the floodgates open after the niña ends like it's supposed to or will it be like the last couple times and the dry pattern injects steroids when the niña fades?
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He didn’t say all was lost. He was saying that marginal setups fell off a cliff starting in 2017 and if we can get them to be more workable again once we fully break out of the bad pac pattern is TBD.
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Nah, that’s a MECS. A HECS would be 18” or more region wide.
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I saw in the SE forum a 0z Euro temp anomaly map for the Feb 11-21 period and our area was not red. So looks like another case of a muted warmup.
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Yeah, but still we’re about to exit the peak snow window for our regional climo. Sun angle season and all that.
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Cliff jumping has begun in the southeast board. We may be north enough to still get something but I’m not holding my breath after the recent runs.
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Last time that happened it was in the 70s on Christmas eve and iced coffee was being sold in NYC for most of that month.
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Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
JenkinsJinkies replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
Law of averages means that'll have to happen eventually. -
Also I would not be shocked if the post PD warmup gets muted like all the other ones have since New Year's.
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It's looking to be short lived, followed by another cooldown that goes into March.
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It’ll be sometime in March before we finally get a sustained warmup at this rate. Maybe even April.
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Oh look, Hagerstown doesn't get screwed.
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I said a month ago about how it can torch all it wants in April. Well if the metros can get enough snow this month to surpass climo then I can accept a March torch. It’ll have earned it in that scenario.
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After RevWar's little fit I don't want to hear any more complaints about me.
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I’m also not buying the post PD warmup.
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WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
JenkinsJinkies replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Usually that happens when the Niña breaks. Though last year it injected steroids instead. -
I was also not intending for my post to deny any relaxation, it’s just that some of the dates in the latter part of the range are showing up on google’s extended forecast and at the moment look rather mild. If the euro verifies then I think the highs will get walked back a bit.
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If the ridge bridge still looks like it’ll only last 3 days then the 11-16th map could pretty much cover the relaxation in its entirety. Which if so shows barely any deviation from the seasonal mean at that time.
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I know that, you’re misinterpreting the post. This shows that the euro thinks that the warmup will be muted like all the other ones this season. The map Ji posted shows us barely deviating from average temps in that period, some areas on the bay even being slightly below average.
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If the relaxation isn’t enough to cancel out this weekend’s cold is it really that much of a warmup?
