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JenkinsJinkies

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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies

  1. JenkinsJinkies
    I was also not intending for my post to deny any relaxation, it’s just that some of the dates in the latter part of the range are showing up on google’s extended forecast and at the moment look rather mild. If the euro verifies then I think the highs will get walked back a bit.
  2. JenkinsJinkies
    If the ridge bridge still looks like it’ll only last 3 days then the 11-16th map could pretty much cover the relaxation in its entirety. Which if so shows barely any deviation from the seasonal mean at that time.
  3. JenkinsJinkies
    I know that, you’re misinterpreting the post. This shows that the euro thinks that the warmup will be muted like all the other ones this season. The map Ji posted shows us barely deviating from average temps in that period, some areas on the bay even being slightly below average.
  4. JenkinsJinkies
    If the relaxation isn’t enough to cancel out this weekend’s cold is it really that much of a warmup?
  5. JenkinsJinkies
    Euro says “what warmup?”
  6. JenkinsJinkies
    Maybe wait a few days given the rug pull track record?
  7. JenkinsJinkies
    1. It's the GFS 2. You don't want to be in the bullseye this far out.
  8. JenkinsJinkies
    That top map is wind chill.
  9. JenkinsJinkies
    Found this in the SE board. Late month is looking BN again, not vodka cold but still below average. GFS is more intense, Canadian is more moderate, and Euro meets in the middle.
  10. JenkinsJinkies
    *looks at the title* We're so lucky there aren't any middle schoolers here.
  11. JenkinsJinkies
    Well how do we know that won’t end up like those mega torches perpetually two weeks away that some ensembles were showing a month ago?
  12. JenkinsJinkies
    Warmer as in closer to average after exiting the arctic or warmer as in our first 60 since December?
  13. JenkinsJinkies
    Yeah, isn't it only supposed to be there for about 3 days?
  14. JenkinsJinkies
    Based on what others have said there’s going to be a ridge bridge that should warm us up. For all of three days, and it could be a “warm up” that takes us from arctic to slightly above seasonal.
  15. JenkinsJinkies
    23-24 could count too due to the spectacular failure of the epic blocking.
  16. JenkinsJinkies
    Save is relative. It can mean anything from saving us from falling short of climo to saving us from making the futility list.
  17. JenkinsJinkies
    This isn't me punting to March, I'm just commenting on March's track record.
  18. JenkinsJinkies
    I've brought this up before, if we're hoping for March to "save" us it usually ends in disappointment.
  19. JenkinsJinkies
    Ridge bridge incoming
  20. JenkinsJinkies
    Now you've done it, you're going to make the storm butthurt and it'll miss us out of spite.
  21. JenkinsJinkies
    Big difference between 1-2 on bare grass and 1-2 on a mini glacier that will have barely melted.
  22. JenkinsJinkies
    So hypothetically how bad would a +QBO Niño be? 23-24 adjacent or a full blown snowless torch?
  23. JenkinsJinkies
    Last time there was measurable snow in December there was measurable snow the following March.
  24. JenkinsJinkies
    Is it a true warmup or a “warmup” where we go from vodka back to seasonal?
  25. JenkinsJinkies
    Looks like we've got a shot at all 3 met winter months having below average temps?
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