JenkinsJinkies

With the back and forth between last rites and "just wait it out" in the ENSO thread you'd expect to see some cliff jumping here.

It is also more than 2 weeks until the start of January.

The last time DCA got a comparable amount of December snow it wasn’t shut out for the remainder of the season once January rolled around.

I mean it was advertised to be a long shot. Even in New York.

12z GFS has us in the 40s for Christmas.

So Euro caved?

Also 16-17, 22-23 had no measurable December snow in the DC and Baltimore area airports. Very much not the case this year.

Wasn’t on the euro

Confirmation bias

If the PDO is truly improving then we may be entering another heater. Imagine a Niño with this improved PDO.

I wonder how he’ll respond if the warm up getting walked back materializes?

PSU also has a rule of thumb type of thing where the odds of a certain type of snow season are based off of when his area records an inch of snow for the first time. It’s been a while since I saw the post but from what I remember it was something along the lines of if he gets his first inch around December 1st then there’s a good chance of a blockbuster winter, if it’s around this time of December then there’s good odds of reaching climo, but if it’s in the lead up to New Years and beyond then it’s going to be a dead ratter.

I mean based on the previous posts the pna may be improved by late January.

North of the city the lowlands got decent amounts for this time of year. Technically the solstice hasn’t happened yet.

Similar recent Decembers for DCA are 2013 and 2018. Last time they got at least 2 inches was 2010.

Even with the localized dud this is still the best December snow totals since 2018.

BWI is officially safe this year. DCA and IAD are still in play.

DCA: 0.3 BWI: 1.0 IAD: 0.5

Yeah this is going to be all rain for me isn't it?

Got your first inch before the 15th. What does that usually bode per your analogues?

Perry Hall

Still not sticking. Probably will later so I’m not sticking the fork in.

It’s snowing in parkville. Not sticking but it’s snowing.