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JenkinsJinkies

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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies

  1. Prime climo for the region isn’t until mid/late Jan.
  2. I asked some of the more knowledgeable people around here and this warmup does have legs. MJO moving to phase 5 being one piece of the puzzle. However it’ll be more like a week of 50s instead of a 70 degree torch.
  3. From what I saw on the enso thread the most extreme anomalies are supposed to be further south and west of the east coast. So I’d be more on board with 50s.
  4. It’s weird, 70s in December is usually a blip but if it’s 70s in January then it’s a harbinger of a dead ratter.
  5. Until a week or so after new years if the sentiment is anything to go by. The cold air is on this side of the hemisphere this year.
  6. That was before the widespread sentiment shifted to this one having legs. In fairness every bad pattern thus far got can kicked, it was quite recently when this upcoming one showed to be legit.
  7. Hagerstown really can’t catch a break with this one…
  8. Looks like the back half of December is written off then.
  9. The mountain folks are going to be insufferable after this.
  10. Gleaming what I saw from Eric Webb's latest tweets things get more favorable right after New Years, is there any possibility this is one of those hostile patterns that entrench themselves in a way where it takes ~3 weeks to undo the damage to snow prospects? It just seems that if the metros can score 2-3" of cumulative snowfall in the first half of December then statistically we shouldn't be facing a potential dead ratter rest of the season.
  11. And from what I've seen on long range this'll be it until probably the first week of January.
  12. Now the question is will this be one of those warmups where it shows 70+ highs 2 weeks out but winds up getting walked back to the 50s once it's in range?
  13. A 1-2” system here is a score by modern December standards.
  14. Given all the warmups so far being can kicked, what is making this time different in regards to the sentiment I’ve been seeing?
  15. January 2017 was the longest freeze free period in any DC winter.
  16. At this point in December 2017 all the models were in two camps. An arctic blast or highs in the 70s on Christmas.
  17. Topping the charts is now off the table but making the top 5 is still in play. Though given the pattern discussion this’ll probably be mothballed again in about a month.
  18. I’m pretty sure that title goes to this past February.
  19. It’s coming down fairly well in Parkville. Was not expecting that.
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