JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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Isn't 8 to 1 to 2 the perfect progression in our area? Or is it 7 to 8 to 1?
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Again, the metros all got measurable December snow with DCA coming to within less than a quarter inch of the average for 1991-2020 climo. Most of the time in a dreg season the metros would still be waiting for their first snowfall.
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Looks like the first time in a while that a 6z run looks promising.
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None of those seasons had accumulating December snowfall in the metros.
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Would still be enough to mothball the futility thread for the season.
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DCA had accumulating snow in December, in fact it was just shy of the 1991-2020 climo average. Statistically the region shouldn’t be shut out for the rest of the season with that to go off of. Hitting climo is a different story but no more snow at all? Seems far fetched. Also the last time DCA had measurable snow in December there was also measurable snow the following March. Wasn’t that long ago either, 2017-18.
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1) January 2025, had snow on the ground nearly the whole month and had a couple “snow on snow” events. 2) October 29, the coastal storm that dumped a decent amount of rain. First rain event since late summer that didn’t have a series of walk backs in the lead up.
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The Seasonal Snowfall Futility Markers
JenkinsJinkies replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just a 2 inch event across the board will be enough to not add to any of them this year. -
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I think the problem is that a lot of the snow fans here have an all or nothing mentality when it comes to patterns. If it's not going to show a 1996,2003,2016 level storm then into the garbage it goes as if that's our only way to get snow.
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Snow weenies will ignore the “long shot” part and then cliff jump when it disappears.
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They would’ve jumped by now.
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You know things are trending in the right direction when there isn’t 2 pages of cliff jumping this morning.
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I got more snow on the 14th than I did on the 2nd.
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They’re not really talking about us, they’re talking about the Midwest.
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The focus has been on the 2nd half of the month for a couple weeks now.
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Once again the brunt of the warmup is to our west.
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Makes me wonder if the 2016 storm was a fluke in that regard.
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0z-12z cancels winter and Happy Hour lives up to it's name.
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It’s even been walked back some. A few runs had us in the 70s.
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It’s been pretty obvious for a while that the warmup was going to be short lived.
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From what I’ve heard on the ENSO side February shouldn’t be written off yet.
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2025-2026 ENSO
JenkinsJinkies replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I posted the link earlier -
It’s January, we don’t need vodka cold.
