JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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Didn't stop the cliff jumpers though.
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The other thread is calling today a dud. I saw through it though, it's not over yet.
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No, it's just that the stuff showing the rain being a dud has no legs.
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Nah we're getting rain, the drier models have fluke written all over it. This is just winter PTSD clouding judgement.
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Could the WAR kill our storm chances tonight?
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What are the chances the severe drought area shrinks on next week's map?
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This will most likely be a 6pm start for the event.
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There could be some rouge cells later in the afternoon in the metros.
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Google says 20% chance of rain from 1-3.
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Nah the dry pattern is about to break, GFS does flukes all the time.
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For DC Google says 40% chance of thunderstorms between 5-6.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
JenkinsJinkies replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
That had like a 10% chance of verifying… -
This has blip written all over it, like one off fluke.
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This is the time of year when cold fronts no longer mean frost advisories.
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It’s a blip, it’ll be gone by the next model run. Snow would’ve collapsed by now.
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Yesterday was the first 8pm sunset for Baltimore, sunsets will be after 8pm until August 16th
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With snow there are more things that can go wrong that don’t apply this time of year.
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It's probably gonna break apart before it reaches me though.
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Will hit a brick wall somewhere near Frederick.
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The "is it ever going to rain again?" discussion.
JenkinsJinkies replied to JenkinsJinkies's topic in Mid Atlantic
The last time this map was posted the region was in some level of green. Stuff in the forecast late next week is already fizzling out… Someone needs to do a deep dive as to what’s causing this and what we need to look for in long range to tell when this will end. -
Given that climate science has underestimated the rate of the changes, I wonder if they were wrong about our region and we’re actually going to become more arid?
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For Saturday Euro says enjoy 0.2-0.5 for the region. Canadian and GFS say what rain? QPF says 0.1 is the ceiling.
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How quickly did it take for the Euro to collapse?
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Every time there's a big rain in the forecast it gets walked back to practically nothing in the days leading up to it, every time.... What went wrong with our advertised wet pattern? Is it something with the ENSO state? Will it ever properly rain again?
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When it says wetter than normal it’s wrong but when it says drier than normal it’s right…
