JenkinsJinkies

The forecasted high for Friday has fallen off a cliff over the past few days.

It moving north doesn’t hurt, it moving southeast hurts.

Oh I was trolled constantly that winter. It would snow, accumulate an inch or two, get on the tree branches and look a picturesque, then a warm front would come in, the snow changed to rain, the rain would then melt all the snow away. That happened every single time that season… I think I only had one snow day that school year and the rest were 2 hour delays. I remember one hit near the end of the day and the teachers worded it as “we’re getting out at 1:75” to make it sound like closing early for snow but the high schools get out at 2:15 so that was some very clever albeit trollish wordplay from them.

While we got more snow overall last season they actually had a larger single storm accumulation than we did.

A lot of our stinkers in recent years have been Februaries that are no shows. 2017, 2020, and 2023 had multiple 70 degree days and in the latter example an 80+ day.

Well we’ve had cold shots in crap patterns that are followed by much above average temps 5 days later.

Usually if the pattern is bad in the south it's bad for us too. Same goes for Philadelphia.

South has stuck the fork in, we’ll see how long until the other sub forums do the same.

The NYC area is modeled to get some more snow on Tuesday.

What doesn’t help is that Webb has been known to call people out who challenge him. Last week he was running rings around the people doubting torchmas in the east screenshotting model runs that showed muted warmth in our area and below normal in New England. Flash forward to now and looking at the 7 day on Google for DC it’ll be AN but it’ll be low 50s instead of low 60s which was forecasted a couple days ago.

https://x.com/webberweather/status/2002759593269792869?s=46

Watch the flood gates open when the Niña ends like in 2018.

Until 18z

Too warm as in marginally or too warm as in "the only 20s on the map are the amount of degrees above normal it is"?

Which in spite of everything nobody is using... I'm guessing that's the reason the cold is still in Canada and not Mongolia?

ENSO thread has effectively cancelled the cold shots for the last few days of the month and are advertising January to play out like it did in 2020 and 2023.

Last time DCA got more than an inch in December the following March had measurable snow.

ENSO thread has officially entered last rites overnight.

ENSO thread says -NAO talk is jumping the gun and don’t expect any significant cold shots at the very end of the month…

There's a digital snow thread.

https://x.com/webberweather Then there's the ENSO thread

Question is will the tune change 2 weeks from now or will forecasters string us along with "not too late" pieces until it's February and we're staring down a week of 70s?

ENSO thread has transitioned to last rites, Philly is transitioning to last rites, Our med/long range thread is transitioning to last rites, NYC is hanging by a thread, NE isn't far behind.