JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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Will this remain the odd one out or will all the other models cave to this over the next 40 hours?
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If this verifies for the 3rd then statistically there'll be more to come throughout the season.
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That's what an elevation difference will do to you.
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I mean if PSU gets a few inches in the first week of Dec then that usually means there'll be ample activity in that season. At the very least a dead ratter is off the table.
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Is it within 5 days or within 3 days where the odds of the snow going poof falls off a cliff?
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How long until the weenies reach the "Bernie math" phase?
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Freezing rain
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I’ve seen rug pulls happen even closer to the event than 3 days before.
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If we get the warm pattern beyond the 10th it could very well entrench itself for the remainder of the season.
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Just wait until the panic room thread goes live.
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That's the feel over in the enso thread.
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I mean are they wrong through (at least with December)? We've seen time and time again that when a SER establishes itself it takes ~3 weeks to undo the damage and have a winter weather chance again.
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ENSO thread is doing last rites for December. In fact they’re doing last rites for here on out.
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I said loads of times, not every time.
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All those times were cold decembers that changed to torches in january that persisted for the remainder of the season.
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Also there have been loads of times where once a crap pattern is established it persists for the remainder of winter.
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I mean Christmas 2015 was in the 70s and we all know what happened a month later.
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I’m anticipating a busy panic room this year.
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I've seen a couple of those and don't know why. We haven't really had any blowtorches recently and the last couple weeks had 2-3 mornings that were below freezing.
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The resemblance to last year is uncanny, the torches are getting rug pulled. Remember when it was supposed approach 70 yesterday?
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Imagine tomorrow night's system but with the same level of cold anomaly compared to December's or January's average.
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Or they fail to realize that the area to our south is a higher elevation when they point out West Virginia.
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Wait, cold and wet, in a Niña?
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Actually their snow came from a different mechanism than what causes our big snows. I actually asked PSU about it when it happened and he said it actually could be possible for the Gulf Coast to score the way they did while at the same time we permanently lose big snows. Now he does not believe we've reached the point where the once a decade big snow storm is a thing of the past but snowfall is still in an overall decline due to a loss of the smaller marginal events.
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If Atlanta gets November flurries then there’s no way we’ve reached the point where we’ve permanently lost the 1996, 2003, 2016 tier storms.
