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JenkinsJinkies

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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies

  1. JenkinsJinkies
    Might bump up if the euro improvements stick.
  2. JenkinsJinkies
    It’s contingent on the euro. I saw it’s 0z run and it was a massive improvement, if it continues then in 100% back in. If it’s still looking good at 12z then consider me on board the hype train.
  3. JenkinsJinkies
    If you read the 2nd part of that I said I’d be back in if 6z stopped the bleeding. So far so good.
  4. JenkinsJinkies
    That’s near 2016 level. If the bleeding has stopped and continues to do so by 6z then count me back in.
  5. JenkinsJinkies
    Probably a Philly north thing.
  6. JenkinsJinkies
    I’ll leave this here and see if it’ll age like wine or milk:
  7. JenkinsJinkies
    They’re talking east of the fall line and DC.
  8. JenkinsJinkies
    Welp I’m pulling out, I’ve been down this road before and I’m not going to hit that wall again. I’ll check again tomorrow morning but I’m not holding my breath. I am not saying it won’t snow, but I’m not holding my breath for a large event at this point.
  9. JenkinsJinkies
    QPF or snow accumulation because that’s two different things.
  10. JenkinsJinkies
    Yeah, the people are losing their minds over a very short lived bout of mixing.
  11. JenkinsJinkies
    It’s still looking like any mixing isn’t happening until the very last minute.
  12. JenkinsJinkies
    We’re closing in on clearing the graveyard window and 12” is still on the table.
  13. JenkinsJinkies
    Might’ve spoken too soon
  14. JenkinsJinkies
    Wow, 18z and pretty much every global model is still giving us double digits.
  15. JenkinsJinkies
    Looks like GFS and ICON are outliers on opposite ends of the spectrum.
  16. JenkinsJinkies
    I mean rug pull chances are declining and will accelerate their decline if nothing significantly changes between now and tomorrow.
  17. JenkinsJinkies
    A window we’re about to exit
  18. JenkinsJinkies
    Is it still minimal or are we losing a more significant amount of snow to it?
  19. JenkinsJinkies
    About 14” for DC proper.
  20. JenkinsJinkies
    ICON is too but in a different extreme.
  21. JenkinsJinkies
    Yeah, my gut was telling me to wait until tomorrow before boarding the hype train in earnest.
  22. JenkinsJinkies
    So what would your “we’re in the clear” point be when it comes to model runs not showing that?
  23. JenkinsJinkies
    So if the 18z runs do not look like ICON how would that reduce the likelihood of a rug pull?
  24. JenkinsJinkies
    A foot before mixing! If it even mixes.
  25. JenkinsJinkies
    Would you say a 2016 level event is still on the table? (Or given ENSO 1996)
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