JenkinsJinkies

46 is not almost 70.

So if this year does somehow end up being a repeat of last year how will that factor into your predictions based on when your area gets its first inch of snow. (Like you said that if you get to Dec 10 and there hasn't been an inch recorded at your location the odds of a blockbuster winter begin to drop and that if you reach late Dec without receiving an inch then it'll most likely be a non-winter) Because this year you got your first accumulation (4 inches) right around the time your correlated blockbuster odds decrease and now you're up to 6 inches after some snow you got about a week later. In fact when the futility thread got bumped last year you pointed out that the top 5 years listed were also the ones where your area received no snow at all by New Year's.

Hunga Tonga was mostly water vapor, Pinatubo was mostly ash. Apples to oranges.

CWG hasn't given up yet https://archive.is/6Gvcv

It's gonna be a Nina following a Nino, so expect a day or two of 70+ in January and an entire week of 70s straddling Presidents Day. See also 2016-2017.

That's usually why they don't report on the lack of snow until it's around Jan 20 and there's been no snow or significantly below average snow.

According to CWG the prime time for snow in the beltway area is between MLK day and President's day.

Cliff jumping in earnest doesn't happen until all the denial runs out after a long shot rain event in a given early March.

So much for torchmas

Perhaps Orthodox Christmas

Disappointment addiction in the same vain as rage addiction.

I mean per the CWG the region's prime snow window runs roughly from MLK day to President's day.

What would this ridge be called? The NHR?

A few weeks ago it was supposed to be around the 28th, so looks like it was only pushed back by less than 2 weeks.

Glad we got that Mexican cold. I see Cuba gave us some too.

How many inches is Mt. PSU at now?