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JenkinsJinkies

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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies

  1. Not as bad as I thought it would be based on the comments.
  2. On the one hand the NAM isn’t as bad as 0z. On the other hand the rest of the globals are walking back their totals (though we were all expecting that from gfs).
  3. Now what if NAM stays the course but the other models do not cave to it?
  4. If 6z NAM has backed off would that mean we're in the clear or will we need to wait for 12z?
  5. 10” is in play north of Baltimore City. The city itself gets close. Also I’m changing my camp to DC being in play for the ceiling too. Also I think the new floor for the metros is 8”. I’m keeping the ceiling at 10 though.
  6. 18z and still no cave? Papers are going to be written about this…
  7. I'm thinking thats a tad conservative. I'm still adamant of a floor of 6" for the area.
  8. Main thread hit it's 3rd iteration. When was the last time that happened?
  9. The needle has barely moved on the snow totals. I was expecting it to be closer to what the Euro was showing.
  10. 12z and GFS still hasn't really caved, not what I was expecting.
  11. I've seen it as the anti GFS, an outlier to the opposite extreme.
  12. Is pink the warning? Because that’s covering everywhere but the eastern shore.
  13. I’m in the camp that the DC area gets the floor and the Baltimore area gets the ceiling.
  14. Looking at the euro runs for 18z and 0z I’m thinking DC and surrounding areas get the floor, Baltimore and surrounding areas get the ceiling. So I think your area could get more than a foot.
  15. Fingers crossed Baltimore is still within striking distance of the ceiling.
  16. Based on the last euro run and some forecasts here made in response to it I think it’ll be near the ceiling of your range.
  17. Jumped back on after last night’s improvement held at 6z. Now if the NAM and RGEM based cliff jumpers wind up being right tomorrow AM…
  18. I still think 6 is the floor for Baltimore, 18z euro had a city and county total nearing and surpassing 10.
  19. Probably the absolute latest the cave happens.
  20. I'll be turning in before the euro runs. What would your take be if it's more or less the same as 18z?
  21. Okay, I'm placing my GFS cave bet on 6z.
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