JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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So on the snow front, what could be an example of us “finding a new way to fail” this year?
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Some models are looking like our luck will change in September. How much do you want to bet this is like the late 2010s and there's an odd month where there's next to nothing for some reason? In 2017 it was December, in 2018 it was January, and in 2019 it was September.
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I think they’re talking about snow storms specifically. The winter base state has gotten warmer meaning that we really need to thread the needle or else it’ll be too warm. psuhoffman can show you that overall snow in the region is trending downward.
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That was before the epic region wide fail streak.
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Imagine how insufferable the weenies would be here if one year the metros get a half inch of snow in late October, leading them to believe we’re in for an epic winter, only for it to turn out to be a 19-20 22-23 01-02 97-98 style non winter because of the reason you just mentioned. The salt would be legendary.
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September 2017 had an early cold shot, only to have the equinox have a high in the 90s. That following winter had an 80 degree day in February. At the time it was the earliest 80 on record.
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I wonder if this will be another season where the arctic blasts happen but go to the other side of the hemisphere instead?
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Is this going to Dorian us and tease us while stalling in the Bahamas before ultimately backtracking. i wonder if Trump will do another sharpie map?
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Not in White Marsh
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CWG says there’s storm chances every day next week. How likely is it that they all go down the tubes?
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How much do you want to bet this dies as soon as it hits the 95 corridor?
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I'm also thinking of making a "When is it going to be our turn?" thread to serve as a spiritual successor to the "Is it ever going to snow again" thread, probably in December.
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Still going to make one anyway, I know where this level of hubris leads.
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The same sept that had the models show a super dry head fake only to dump about 5 inches? The real extreme dryness was October.
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We can go decades without a hit from an actual hurricane. Most of the time it’s remnants or tropical storms that make their way here.
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PSU says no, as of now he's not expecting a non winter but snow will still be below normal.
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You think the moisture will win?
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With us heading into another Niña I wonder if we’re in this dryness for the long haul? Usually things turn dry between August and October in Niña years and the pattern doesn’t usually break until the Niña does in February/March. Though this past year it actually strengthened and lasted an extra 2 months.
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Why is it when cpc says we’ll be wet it’s wrong but when it says we’ll be dry it’s right?
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GFS fell off a cliff after DOGE
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Meanwhile in Australia https://www.facebook.com/Reuters/videos/2560754497605762/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v
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It abruptly shot up last November so yeah.
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If we get a Niño for 26-27 and the PDO improves like it did last year could that be a legit shot for us to finally score?
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Like clockwork, every third winter is a non winter. There's a reason I also wrote off this up coming winter last year, looks like I'll be right about this one.
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It’s called lethal wet bulb for a reason
