JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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How long until it's can kicked? Or trends south?
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And lots of days to go to see if the weenies touch the stove again.
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With this Nina being a late bloomer the typical crap pattern still happened, but it was shifted by 2 months. So instead of having this Christmas week we're having it now.
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It's this pattern we've had since 2023, every time there's a big rain that looks like it'll end a dry pattern it instead gets followed by 3 weeks of wall to wall low humidity cloudless days. If this winter was a torch I would be wondering if we had swapped climates with California sometime over the last 2 years.
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I guessing because of how January went and how it was a wall to wall cold season I guess that’s we’re not getting a “what went wrong” thread for the pattern collapse. Maybe we could do a “When is it going to be our turn” thread?
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https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1893401493694210165?s=46
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Even if we get the raging SER that's a Nina staple?
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I look forward to the 27th when the bulk of that is in South Carolina
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2018 gave us snow even later than that.
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The what went wrong thread is going to be an interesting read.
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The posts I'm referring to were getting the point across via subtext, reading between the lines shows how they were feeling. They were also not saying it'll never snow at all again, they were saying that a 2016 style event may not happen again.
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The ending of that episode really pissed me off.
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Every time it slightly ticks NW it then proceeds to go even further SE. The bullseye is now in South Carolina…
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This winter puts those extreme points to bed. Like you said, overall it is snowing less, however it’s not as bad as some of the panic posts had been suggesting these past few years. Let’s just hope the PDO actually is flipping and we get a Niño probably in 26-27 and score then. That way it’ll shut them up for a couple years.
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Niñas usually double dip, I don’t know why that’s a surprise to some…
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One thing this winter illustrated is that the bulk of the problem was the PDO.
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They’ve already got a short week anyway with today being holiday and all.
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If the PDO does indeed flip then if we get a Niño like last year’s then we could finally get the goods?
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21-22 was the last time this happened.
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Astronomically slim chance for the 25th, warm up in the first few days of March, possible window between 3/4 and 3/11 but it’s too early to tell.
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Double plot turn: there was genuine concern that these patterns might have gone extinct post 2016. That talking point popped up a lot especially within the last 5 years.
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Huge doubt, I heard that the blocking is collapsing.
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DCA already surpassed climo so this is just bonus points.
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They reached a grief integer overflow and looped back to denial.
