JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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The mega torch has been perpetually 2 weeks away, some models have the 11th as one of them. Suspiciously 2 weeks after the last forecasted mega torch.
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If people are this upset at getting weenied then that’s their problem.
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Isn’t he taking a break?
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Most of our big ones hold off until after the new year.
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Especially the fact that it’s always at the end of the runs.
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I’m guessing this is why Webb didn’t change back to heat miser?
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The cliff jumpers need to invest in bungees.
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From the SE forum, Euro heading in the right direction.
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Pretty much
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FWIW even BAM isn’t 100 percent on board with the red flags he found.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
JenkinsJinkies replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
It's just a bunch of snow weenies losing their minds over a 4 day warmup, nothing unusual about that. In a clipper/Miller B pattern yes but if it's a full blown shit the blinds pattern for the MA then Philly proper and the immediate areas are usually SOL as well. -
C'mon guys, anything more than a half inch out of this was a long shot. Also, if the 0.2 verifies then DCA will also be safe from adding to the futility list this year.
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Not taking the bait.
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Meh, DOGE nuked their accuracy.
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GFS fell off a cliff after DOGE.
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Someone replied this to me the other day but the stuff that was supposed to happen next week kind of popped up out of nowhere as an "added bonus" while the flip was always supposed to be roughly mid month. Even BAM's latest post talking about a potential red flag isn't 100% on board with can kicking it. Neither is CWG: https://x.com/capitalweather/status/2007118457418957123
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No, it's like downvoting a reddit comment if there was no karma system. A lot of people here take it way more personally than they should.
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I mentioned that these models have been flip flopping all season for stuff that's more than a few days out. What's not helping with model accuracy is DOGE trickery messing up GFS and the integration of AI pretty much across the board. Also if this is going where I think this is going I have made numerous comments saying that I'm not expecting a big dog event this year.
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Ah yes, I should get bent out of shape over a rating sticker and lash out at the person who dealt it. That's a totally rational response.
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You're taking weenie ratings way too seriously...
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We’ve seen numerous times how temp forecasts 2 weeks out flip flop as they get closer. Reminder that mid December showed a Boxing Day torch until the models flipped less than a week out. Also if you’re taking weenie ratings this personally then that’s a you problem.
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They’ve been burned by the years where the warmups started and never ended.
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How long until the cliff jumpers lose their minds over a warmup that'll be over in less than a week?
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What if we went over a tipping point after March 2018 that makes snow that month next to unheard of? Similar XKCD: https://xkcd.com/1321/
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CWG January forecast: https://archive.is/ECHhk
