Powerball
-
Posts
14,230 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Powerball
-
5pm now and still no AFD. I can only figure it's a doozy, lol...
-
18z GFS is an improvement from the 12z GFS run.
-
18z ICON is more amped / NW though.
-
To be clear, I know there's virtually no chance of the 3km 18z NAM happening (it doesn't even jive with how the upper levels look). But got damn, it is some nice eye candy...
-
This of course excludes WAA snows...
-
That 3km 18z NAM is quite nice for Detroit. Full-blown blizzard. EDIT: Flying home-worthy
-
It's not just the snow totals either, but there will also be significant blowing/drifting and fairly high rates. Considering that, an argument could be made for an impact-based WSW despite snow totals possibly falling short of the technical threshold. But that debate is a whole 'nother can of worms, especially with the recent changes to the criteria that have been rolled out.
-
HRRR is finally coming back to earth with the 18z run.
-
It was still a decent snowstorm for the Detroit area (just not a big dog)
-
12z UKMET has taken a step back from the amped runs yesterday. It looks more like the GGEM now.
-
Severe weather easy to predict? *Laughs in Southern Plains under DFW's cap of steel*
-
12z NAM will also continue to be amped / NW...
-
Yeah, they punted. Kind of funny, but not surprising.
-
Perhaps a more unfortunate trend is that the models have been slowly but steadily doing away with the initial WAA snow...
-
12z HRRR is holding firm with the amped / NW solution. We'll see if the other 12z models follow suit...
-
I have to imagine that DTW, IWX and GRR issue watches for portions of their CWA this morning. Certainly enough of a consensus in model guidance to support it at this stage...
-
-
lol
-
The 18z RGEM is also looking more similar to the UKMET and NAM, for what little it's worth...
-
It did end up similar to the UKMET for eastern areas.
-
I see Detroit has been NAM'd...
-
It appears only 3.6" fell at DTW. Definitely a bit of a underperformer, but perspective is key. It's the best widespread snow event y'all have seen all season...
-
BTW, what happened with the social media rumor that Jim Cantore would be in Detroit? I did check Fox Weather as well, and they're only in Grand Rapids, KC and Chicago...
-
It's definitely shaping up to be your type of pattern. Even if the snow amounts with any one storm don't end up being significant, it should be enough to build deep-ish snowcover with snow on top of snow. Congrats!
-
Isn't that a model projection for the next 10 days? The tweet was an image of temperature departures in January...
