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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    Just put me out of my misery now....
  2. Powerball
    Will be a pretty monumental fail for the EURO if it ends up wrong and caving to these other models. "Grandma not mad. Grandma just hurt."
  3. Powerball
    Over 15" for the Northern and Western suburbs... And a crippling Ice Storm just south of the Metroplex...
  4. Powerball
    A little bit of both. But in all seriouaness, I'm always down for a Big Dog, and this one has above-average potential (similar to Feb. 2010 for Dallas).
  5. Powerball
    Still far from a lock (especially with today's model trends), but...
  6. Powerball
    A cold rain would be the lesser evil over Ice, although they're both disgusting.
  7. Powerball
    Drier *AND* warmer. Real nasty work... But the ICON is a fairly terrible model, even worse than the NAM.
  8. Powerball
    18z NAM shifted NW, lookimg a lot like the 12z GFS and last night's EURO. Also, update from FWD...
  9. Powerball
    Frankie has spoken! https://x.com/frankiemacd/status/1876364861032341522?t=sK9mv32YXQL2TqaV_0vAfw&s=19
  10. Powerball
    The bigget threat, power outage-wise, will be poles and limbs weighed down from the plastering of snow if it ends up having a high water content.
  11. Powerball
    Bear in mind, that is the mean of 50 different alternative outputs from the ECMWF model (not just the OP or operational model). A few duds mixed in there, but also numerous 10"+ big dogs too. The fact that it has been consistently showing a 6-8" mean for Dallas is pretty exceptional, especially given EURO Ensembles have a reputation of being more reliable than the Emsembles for the other models.
  12. Powerball
    12z EURO Ensemble Mean...
  13. Powerball
    EURO Ensembles look their most impressive yet, although like the GEFS they did shift a bit NW.
  14. Powerball
    lol...
  15. Powerball
    That's because not everyone in this sub got anything meaningful from this Winter Storm...
  16. Powerball
    Amen to that!
  17. Powerball
    Take it with a tiny grain of salt (CBS in San Antonio): https://x.com/RDR8ER/status/1876269941646831953?t=3OHCNog_-wVj0wtiFQll0w&s=19
  18. Powerball
    I bet it feels good to be able to finally say that so late into a season...
  19. Powerball
    Ensembles remain remarkably consistent, especially the EURO, with both placement and mean totals.
  20. Powerball
    The Blizzard Warning has been expanded to include all of the KC metro area...
  21. Powerball
    For what little it's worth, the EURO ensembles has a fairly widespread 6-8" mean for North Texas, which is impressive at face value. The GEFS and CMCE aren't bad-looking either.
  22. Powerball
    At best, *IF* everything aligns perfectly, it's going to be a Southern Plains and maybe Mid-Mississippi / Lower Ohio Valley special. With the blocking in the Atlantic and how progressive the trough will be, I don't think it's going to come together with meaningful impact for the majority of this subforum. It's more likely that it ends up being a strung out cold rainstorm for the Gulf Coast.
  23. Powerball
    It's not entirely clown map shenanigans, as the potential is definitely there synoptically. But it's a true "thread the needle" setup.
  24. Powerball
    It would be funny if Dallas sees a 6"+ snowstorm before Chicago or Detroit. Still think it's a longshot at best though...
  25. Powerball
    Love to see it!
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