Powerball

BTW, 2024 is also the 5th warmest year to-date on record for DFW (warmer than both 2022 and 2023 to-date), even with a January that was well below average.

DFW is currently at +1.0°F for June. The departure will likely increase further as we head into the final week of the month. If so, while not be record-breaking, that will mean another solidly above average month temp-wise despite the wet soils and all of the rainfall. There may be a bit of a fly in the ointment though, as there are hints we could at least be grazed by ROF convection out of OK/KS/AR midweek with a transient breakdown of the eastern ridge.

Guess I was wrong. Convection to the SW of the airport fell apart and didn't produce much debris. Up to 92*F now as of the 2pm observation.

DTW did in fact snag an intra-hour 90*F. Convection is blowing up all around the vicinity now, so in all likelihood, that will be the max for today.

Might be a photo finish for 90*F today. Currently 89*F at DTW now, but some Altostratus has filled in per satellite and Convection is starting to initiate just to the SW.

Looks like potentially several consecutive days of 100*F+ temps are looming for DFW next week, starting as early as this upcoming. Sunday. For perspective, the first 100*F+ day last year wasn't observed until 6/26 (which ended up with 55 days total).

DTW eventually did achieve a late day high of 91*F yesterday, as it seems the cloud debris finally thinned some.

You guys seem to have a fair amount of cloud debris today. I'm a little surprised temps are still rising at a respectable clip. But that mid-June sun angle can do wonders...

While not record-breaking, 6/17 is the first time DTW reached 95*F or greater since 8/3/2022.

The Detroit area was under the influence of the outflow bubble from this morning's MCS / MCV, The bubble has finally (mostly) eroded with temps topping out in the low/mid 90s, but the limited daytime mixing through midday put a cap on the max temp potential.

OP's thread tag is starting to age like milk...

2011 and 2012...

The GFS really is a terrible model.

And I love that for y'all...

What an awful model the GFS is. One run, it shows a 600dm ridge over the GL / NE next week, the next run it shows a dirty 582dm ridge with the remnants of a tropical disturbance.

Larry Cosgrove wasn't wrong with his prediction of a very warm Spring (although yes, he was wrong about it being dry). 2024 was the 6th warmest Spring on record for the US. Not even Morch was a wall-to-wall torch the entire month. And even if it were, statistically-speaking, it's unrealistic to hold that or 2012 in general as the standard for a warm temperature pattern. And yes, Cosgrove was a few weeks too bullish with the transition to eastern ridging / western troughing for Met. Summer. But while delayed, it's definitely still happening.

Next week's been shot for a while. It's the 3rd week of June when it should really lock in.

The blame game aside, this is just a reminder that people should not take severe t'storm predictions lightly, as the environment will be conducive to rapidly evolving conditions at a mesoscale level that even Meteorologists may not always be able to proactively warn the public about.

As mentioned in the other thread, enjoy the next 2 weeks while they last. Indications are that eastern realignment of the heat ridge should be underway starting the 3rd week of June, which should be the dominant pattern (aside from the occasional transient breakdown with NW flow shortwaves or tropical activity) for the remainder of the Summer. There won't be any smoke levels of consequence to help obscure solar insolation this time either.

Y'all are definitely getting the goods. Seems the city's getting slammed right now too, maybe even with some small hail.

Spoke too sonn. Severe Thunderstorm Warning for the NE half of the Metroplex with 65 MPH winds. We're getting hit pretty good here now. Vivid lightning, but oddly enough, not much thunder.

The MCS is outflow dominant, which is a good thing. But it has reached here and those winds mean businesss. Easily getting 50 MPH gusts.

As mentioned, deep layer shear is relatively underwhelming, but otherwise the setup is looking remarkably similar to last Tuesday morning (just a bit further NE). If the looming MCS can establish a cold pool, it could get hairy.