Powerball

It's all good, as he can keep the freezing temps in the winter to himself.

We had 100/80 several days earlier this season. And yes, it feels like a Sauna.

Definitely seeing shades of 2022 with this Groundhog Day pattern. August will be the wild card in deciding whether this ends up being one of DFW's hottest summers on record. As it stands now, this will be a top 10 (if not top 5) hottest July on record, while the summer to-date is the 11th warmest.

US grid operator PJM declares level one emergency amid scorching heat https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/us-grid-operator-pjm-declares-level-one-emergency-amid-scorching-heat-2023-07-27/

Just like last week, this was a solid episode by all accounts for a major metro area that doesn't get these significant severe weather events often. Given the videos and damage pictures I've seen, not to mention the fact that there are well over 100K people without power, describing this as a underpeformance is kind of silly and tone deaf.

Underperformance indeed... https://www.clickondetroit.com/features/2023/07/26/mipics-submit-your-severe-weather-photos-and-videos/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=snd&utm_content=wdiv4

The warning is now for 70 MPH winds... Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 342 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2023 MIC163-262000- /O.CON.KDTX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-230726T2000Z/ Wayne MI- 342 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2023 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY... At 341 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Detroit Zoo to Downtown Detroit to near Grosse Ile, moving east at 55 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. These severe storms will be near... Belle Isle around 345 PM EDT. Grosse Pointe around 350 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include Melvindale, Gibraltar, Rockwood, Harper Woods, Grosse Pointe Shores, Ecorse, Grosse Pointe Woods, Woodhaven, Lincoln Park and Grosse Pointe Park. People attending Comerica Park , and the Aretha Franklin Amphitheater should seek safe shelter immediately! PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 4202 8317 4203 8317 4202 8318 4209 8329 4244 8331 4245 8287 4236 8288 4232 8306 4230 8309 4224 8313 4217 8313 4213 8312 4206 8315 4200 8314 TIME...MOT...LOC 1941Z 253DEG 49KT 4244 8311 4233 8304 4211 8311 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH $$ AA

High wind and damage reports are starting to trickle in from your area on the SPC page.

And while nothing terribly impressive, a bit of a RIJ has formed on the back side of this.

Decent-looking bow echo (on radar) pushing right into the city.

Mesoscale Discussion 1727 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0214 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2023 Areas affected...Southeast lower MI into northwest OH Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 551... Valid 261914Z - 262045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 551 continues. SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind and possibly a brief tornado will continue and perhaps increase into late afternoon. DISCUSSION...A QLCS has recently intensified from southeast lower MI into northwest OH, with embedded bowing segments noted southwest of Detroit and west of Toledo. The 18Z DTX sounding was rather favorable for organized convection, with MLCAPE near 2000 J/kg (when modified for current observations) and effective shear of around 40 kt. With steepening low-level lapse rates and the well-organized character of the ongoing QLCS, the damaging-wind threat may increase with time until the system moves through the area. Also, while surface winds may tend to veer with time, a reasonably strong southwest low-level jet (as noted on the 18Z DTX sounding and recent DTX VWPs) will support sufficient low-level shear/SRH for a brief tornado threat with line-embedded circulations. ..Dean.. 07/26/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX... LAT...LON 42548394 42868380 42878290 42368293 41878291 41438283 41138310 41118383 41168413 41208439 41478427 41778401 42138379 42548394

Agreed with Metro Detroit getting a decent hit with round 1. Pretty good heating is underway in that area, and there's now a good surge of moisture happening ahead of the ongoing complex.

Hopefully, that gap fills in for frostfern's sake...

Radar and satellite is looking good for you all again today.

Besides the fact that the more recent GFS runs are back to showing a hotter look across the country, He apparently doesn't understand how probabilities work, nor the meaning of "above average"...

WARNING: Expletive language...

Interesting cloud formation...

I saw a modest-looking hail core track over northern sections of Detroit a little while ago. I'll have to phone home and see how that went. EDIT: There was one Ping Pong-sized hail report on the NW side of the city, so far...

Between the Saharan Dust settling in and the death ridge seemingly not relenting, might have to begin worrying about drought conditions expanding across TX. A corridor along / just west of I-35 is already reporting severe to extreme drought conditions