Powerball

It's been a struggle much of the day, but with an uptick in shear the past few hours, the storms seem to be starting to forward propgate and form into a more solid line now as it pushes into the Metroplex. Over 500 lightning strikes per minute.

https://x.com/NWSSPC/status/1797340937842291099?t=WRuyFYUyjxTkR8YHhFq0TA&s=19

https://x.com/NWSSPC/status/1797349231419883962?t=FiBAunQE743CW32v4IiX0Q&s=19

Looking active for DFW a few hours from now.

Oh... https://x.com/NWSSPC/status/1797301667484008738?t=v-uBruaPqvEdOZHVjiLIEQ&s=19

Spoke too soon. May 2024 will tie for the 10th warmest on record.

2024 wil end up being the 5th warmest Spring in record for DFW, warmer than 2022. This will, BTW, be without a single month in Met. Spring making the top 10 warmest list.

RadarScope is showing a widespread 5+ inches of rain across SE Denton and SW Collin County, just from today's storms.

Flood Watch has just been issued for all eveyone along/north of I-20 in North Texas until 7pm Friday.

Another estimated 3-4" of rain fell with the most recent round of storms part of DFW, with more storms moving in shortly. I suppose flooding is better than a repeat of Tuesday morning, if a poison had to be picked.

BTW, very impressive-looking MCV tied with this activity.

First round is sub-severe, but has turned into a heavy rain threat for the NE. DFW suburbs, with a flash flood warning in effect for portions of Collin / Denton County. Will have to watch the evolution of that 2nd line of storms to the SW of Wichita Fallas for this afternoon though, for severe activity. EDIT: And now a Flood Warning as well for Dallas County.

There is indication in the model guidance that another squall line could move through DFW tomorrow, this time during peak heating.

https://x.com/TxStormChasers/status/1795444984709083629?t=vagqq2FEUa7ss_GOPD01bQ&s=19

Also, 86 MPH gust confirmed in Double Oak per the SPC report page.

The storms this morning produced a swath of 3-5" across DFW. There's still technically a few more days left in Met. Spring. So with today's rainfall (1.91" at DFW) 2024 is going end up top 10 wettest Spring after all. Crazy thing is, I'm not aware of any other year on record that had both a top 10 warmest Spring *AND* top 10 wettest Spring...

This would likely be where a low-end tornado gets confirmed (if one's confirmed), a neighborhood in Garland... https://x.com/wfaa/status/1795495628090261770?t=Vm3mqeHY6Y9e4KWTU589lA&s=19

95 MPH wind gust in The Colony... https://x.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1795482130140823667?t=OEQ6wzzQ8YGMxHRbX-WWmg&s=19

https://x.com/JudgeClayJ/status/1795482050860114273?t=HkK7k4QCxR2HHUHOia40gQ&s=19

Getting widespread post-storm gusts of 40-50 MPH (wind advisory criteria).

Also starting to see some reintensification / redevelopment of storms down around Austin / College Station as the enhanced low level convergence erodes what little capping was in place. Will have to watch and see if it intensifies into a severe QLCS for Houston.

Outflow boundary's made it all the way down to Austin and will be pushing westward through San Angelo shortly. In fact, it has prompted a Hgh Wind Warning for the San Angelo area.

Just doing a cursory comparison... What's impressive about today's event vs June 2019 is the latter happened during peak heating after a day with plentiful morning sunshine (when the temp/dewpoint spread was much wider, thus in theory would have enhanced the downdraft strength), whereas today's event happened at diurnal minimum. Also, I'm pretty certain the coverage of severe wind in June 2019 was more widespread throghout the Metroplex in June 2019, even if the peak rainfall/wind intensity was somewhat less impressive. Today's event was mostly concentrated in the NE half of DFW (granted, still a ton of people impacted).

Per the SPC storm report page, there's major structural damage at North Forney (TX) High School

Even the Outflow Boundary itself is packing a punch. This is back out to the west in Abilene... Special Weather Statement National Weather Service San Angelo TX 847 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 TXZ054-066-113-127-128-139-281445- Runnels TX-Callahan TX-Nolan TX-Coleman TX-Jones TX-Taylor TX- 847 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 ...STRONG WINDS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN CALLAHAN...SOUTHWESTERN JONES...NORTHERN COLEMAN...NORTHEASTERN NOLAN...TAYLOR AND NORTHEASTERN RUNNELS COUNTIES THROUGH 945 AM CDT... At 846 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking an outflow boundary with strong winds up to 50 mph near Potosi. HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. This strong thunderstorm will be near... Potosi around 850 AM CDT. Tuscola around 915 AM CDT. Abilene around 905 AM CDT. Other locations impacted by this storm include Impact, Lake Abilene, Camp Tonkawa, Echo, Lake Sweetwater, Lake Coleman, Ovalo, Hodges, Goldsboro, Buffalo Gap and Camp Butman. This includes Interstate 20 between Mile Markers 256 and 293. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. && LAT...LON 3167 9920 3239 10041 3264 9994 3217 9920 TIME...MOT...LOC 1346Z 055DEG 14KT 3233 9962 MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH $$ SK