An argument can also be made that the period from 2005 - 2015 was also historically not normal (on the snowy/cold end of extreme), and the region is simply reverting back to the mean with the past 10 years of avergae to mediocre winters.
For DFW:
With November having officlally ended, it was the 8th warmest on record with an average temp of 61.7°F.
Also, Fall 2024 was the 3rd warmest on record with an average temp of 72.2°F.
The only thing that could throw a wrench into things would be the potential formation and recurving of a typhoon in the western Pacific.
There'a a decent signal for that (although not a lock just yet) too.
As things stand now, October is on track for the warmest on record for DFW...
Also, crazy as it might be, DFW may have a legit shot at finishing the month with no precip (obviously also being the driest on record).
Interesting tidbit from FWD this morning...
All
available perfect-prog guidance projects 500mb temperatures above
the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex will rise above -1C (into the 30s
in Fahrenheit) on Friday. The NAM has 500mb temperatures above
freezing! This isn`t just near-record for September but would
challenge the all-time record high 500mb temperature for our local
weather balloons (1950 to present), which is -0.5C from July 1951.