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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    The 00z EURO OP run brought the tropical wave back in earnest. I'm hoping it *DOESN'T* happen so that DFW can move further up the ranking for 100*F+ days. We're 11 days away from catching up with 2022, and still 4 days away from cracking the top 10 list. We're also in the running for at least the 2nd warmest August on record (2011 being the 1st). And all but 3 of the remaining days in August will have to be 100*F+ to crack the top 10 highest number of days in a month.
  2. Powerball
    Oh my Sweet Summer Chile... Y'all got several months of that crap incoming after this last heat ridge flexs it muscles.
  3. Powerball
    It would be funny if a 600dm death ridge did set up over Alek next week, after the way this Summer has gone.
  4. Powerball
    It's 99*F at DFW as of 12pm, but the stiff NW wind has kicked into gear. Just need that last degree (with full solar insolation) to get that 22nd consecutive day...
  5. Powerball
    Another record for DFW:
  6. Powerball
    Achieved a record high of 106*F today at DFW (previous record was 105*F set in 1951).
  7. Powerball
    With respect to the MJO, from a temperature standpoint, Phases 8 climatologically-speaking translates to anomalies near normal across Texas. And with respect to the dewpoints, IMO, going with a blend of the GFS and the foreign mosels is likely best. You do have a point about the GFS likely being too aggressives with the lower DPs, but I also think there should be some consideration given for the dry soils & strong subsidence on the backside of the trough to help with efficient heating.
  8. Powerball
    Eh, the 00z GFS is notorious for mixing too deeply (even in Compressional Heating setups), and actually has been the slowest to catch on to this "cool down."
  9. Powerball
    This brief reprieve in the pattern can definitely be attributed to the MJO, as it keeps meandering on the edge of the COD and Phase 8. Kind of annoying for statistical posterity though, because this 1-2 day reprieve will break what otherwise could be an impressive streak of 100*F+ highs and 80*F+ lows for DFW. Still, provided the front doesn't speed on up Monday any more than it already has, this streak should be good enough to surpass 2022 at least...
  10. Powerball
  11. Powerball
    Pretty impressive-looking hail cores just NW of Minneapolis on radar, although they now appear to be weakening somewhat as they push into the metro area. EDIT: Scratch the weakening part. R.I.P. to people's cars in MSP.
  12. Powerball
    Alrighty then...
  13. Powerball
    With mostly clear skies last night, DFW finally broke the 85*F+ low streak after 6 days. The low this morning was only 8F*F
  14. Powerball
  15. Powerball
  16. Powerball
    And another DFW record. We're now on day 5...
  17. Powerball
    For context, there were 47 days in 2022...
  18. Powerball
    Unless something wild happens this evening (I.E. rogue pop-up t'storm at/near the airport), yet another record maximum low was set today at DFW of 86*F (previous record was also 85*F in 2011). In fact, that ties for the all-time record (also most recently set in 2022).
  19. Powerball
    It seems the latest ensemble runs are even backing off on that. And Larry Cosgrove is thinking little overall change in the pattern until after Labor Day. To-date, this Summer is the 7th hottest on record for DFW, and we're quickly catching up to the records set in the Big 4 (1980, 2011, 1998 and 2022). Back in May, had you told me we would have a backloaded torch of a Summer this year with the persistent blocking and strengthening El Nino, I would have laughed. Yet, here we are...
  20. Powerball
    Poor thing...
  21. Powerball
    Another record maximum low of 85°F was set this morning at DFW (previous record of 84°F was again in 2011).
  22. Powerball
    DFW tied the record high of 107*F today, *AND* broke the record high minimum temp with a low of 85*F (previously 83*F). Both records were last set in 2011...
  23. Powerball
  24. Powerball
    I see a bunch of new names on the Outlooks issued today. I'm guessing these are new grad hires or interns...
  25. Powerball
    We will be getting outflows in North Texas from the storms in OK (one's pushing through now), but it seems other than intermittent cloud cover and a wind shift, they may offer little relief from the heat. EDIT: Not so fast. There's storm initiation in Montague County right now.
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