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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    That's definitely what all signs point to. But not before parts of TX get a bit of drought relief.
  2. Powerball
    I'm pretty sure it was just another PV stretch (the final one for the season as the PV dissipates) which don't always translate to severe / lasting cold spells. SSWE, like Polar Vortex in the context of winter storms, is grossly overused terminology in weather discussions (but especilly by one Met in particular).
  3. Powerball
    ^^^How lovely...
  4. Powerball
    Not quite, but close... 2024 = +4.3 2023 = +1.3 2022 = -2.1 2021 = +1.7 2020 = -2.8 2019 = +0.1 2018 = -5.9 2017 = +5.4 2016 = -2.6 2015 = +1.1
  5. Powerball
    I'll take intermittent haboobs over days on end of lake-effect clouds and wrap-around stratocumulus in the Spring/Fall. #BlessTheSunbelt
  6. Powerball
    Do you hear me complaining? #BestClimo
  7. Powerball
    Unless the post-storm surveys indicate otherwise, the SPC has those spotter reports on the record as tornadoes (total of 9 reports yesterday).
  8. Powerball
    There's also the whole Skywarn Training initiative where once you actually attend a full session in-person to learn all the technical ins & outs with storm reporting, they'd give you a "private" number & email number and implore you not to share it with anyone. But of course, humans being humans, people share it any way.
  9. Powerball
    There's no foolproof way for the NWS to control who reports something and who doens't. That said, the onus should be on the NWS to discern the legitimacy of a report before confirming it.
  10. Powerball
    The transluscence of the dust with dense cloud cover is something...
  11. Powerball
    Well of course, for enhancement, the overall background environment still has to be favorable for convective development.
  12. Powerball
    https://x.com/philipnation/status/1902391058736017607?t=9qgA-QqG2jZeawo6epgAsQ&s=19
  13. Powerball
  14. Powerball
    I doubt it If anything, dust can enhance convection via cloud seeding (as we saw this past weekend). That said, I think there was suspicion all along that the RAP/HRRR were overzealous with the moisture return (and thus the ceiling).
  15. Powerball
    The Blizzard Warnings are definitely verifying out there today just west/NW of Omaha.
  16. Powerball
    There is some indication that things could turn "wetter" for a period towards the end of March / early April in parts of the Southern Plains / SW. Likely nothing drought-busting by any means, but any litttle bit will help before an early season heat ridge starts to build in after the first week of April...
  17. Powerball
  18. Powerball
    https://x.com/efino87/status/1902335951336013932?t=Q5hj7rPmaNouZXvWJcrnUQ&s=19
  19. Powerball
    With this current storrm, Omaha has seen the most Blizzard Warnings ever to start a year (3). And there's only been 1 other year (2018) where they saw 4. It's wild too considering Omaha was well on track for futility through the first 2/3rds of winter...
  20. Powerball
    Likely because of the limited moisture return leading to fairly high LCLs. The wind field is looking to also be somewhat veered. But yeah, I don't think the threat is non-zero if some discrete cells can organize.
  21. Powerball
    Moisture return doesn't look nearly as pristine. But dynamically-speaking, there's potential.
  22. Powerball
    I don't know about you, but it would piss me off to have a futility record nickel'd and dime'd away in March...
  23. Powerball
    That map is kind of misleading, as those reports also include non-t'storm wind (especially in the Plains)
  24. Powerball
    Some severe cells producing damaging winds moving through the NW suburbs of Detroit right now...
  25. Powerball
    So on top of the tornado outbreak happening, there was just a 3.0 magnitude Earthquake in Magee, MS...
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