Wow
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Everything posted by Wow
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FV3 is a monster. Plenty of cold air. Looks like all snow on a line at and north from GSP to CLT to RDU
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No, you want to see a healthy HP over the NE to funnel in cold, dry air ahead of and during the storm.
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Overall setup still supported for a sig storm for the SE... Don't get hung up on the details yet. 12z GFS was weaker with the s/w... thus the more suppressed solution. Also was dragging its feet on building in the CAD high.
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12z GFS further south but also slower with the northern s/w to drag the HP east
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0z Euro total QPF. It's juiced up.
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winter cancel
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This is correct. Our CAD high is not in place.
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Hourly up to 90 hrs
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For our area, generally. For the MA, it's all over the place!
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It's actually very similar to the 12z GFS with the track close to the coast
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Interestingly enough, the setup has some similarities to the '04 storm... just a bit weaker and further north with the trough
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2/2004 as I recall it was modeled always as a good precip maker with temp issues but in the last 72 hrs it trended colder and colder with each run.
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It's flatter with the wave a little longer before it captures it off the coast... 12z was a bit faster wrapping it up and keeping it closer to the coast. Minor differences for this range as the overall setup is the same.
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over 30 hour event possibly.. lol
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Wow.. at 180.. nearly stalled off SC.. snowing over most of NC
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Cut off low... pulls it close to the SC coastline
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Flatter wave... more west to east r/s line... good for eastern areas of NC
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Overall similar setup just further N with the sfc low .. better precip shield extending from NC to KS
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Looks like the Wunderground forecast algorithms have ingested the latest models.. lol
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I agree with Mr. Widre Mann.
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12z GEFS trend. Much less spread with the sfc low placement. More agreement with a Miller A type of track.
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All I know at this point is a lot of something is going to fall from the sky. It has been wet. Wettest fall on record. It has been raining all weekend here. If the clipper delivers a stout HP overhead like the models are trending toward, we'll be good to go.
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Looks about right given the track as far as the r/s line is concerned.
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It's a coastal hugger on this run so it's a jackpot track for western areas
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Welcome to El Nino. Best chance for wintry wx for eastern areas will be at the beginning
