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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. Sleet doesn't get as far north as the Nam in SE NE. Also, more amped than 12z.
  2. GFS does show winds of 15 kts with higher gusts in eastern areas between 06z and 12z Monday, so there could be some blizzard conditions for a time, but few will be on the road at that time thankfully. Winds were even stronger and for longer on the NAM.
  3. It's been quite a while since we've had days and days of model consistency so far ahead of a blockbuster storm, without even one model run losing the storm or sending it ots, .
  4. Still adds another 3-4 inches in far eastern areas after 12z, with around .2 qpf, with ratios.
  5. Looking at the 0z suite thus far, it appears that by 12Z Monday it is basically over, with a couple of inches after that. Not the best models, but just saying.
  6. The 0z NAM was a definite improvement qpf-wise from 18z.
  7. Wonder what a few of those members are smoking with qpf of 0.5 or less?
  8. Ukie has it next Sunday with a big hit for many. But it's all alone in the globals.
  9. 03z RAP gone wild with a norlun look and warning snows for much of the area.
  10. With 3 losses, Alabama shouldn't even be in this playoff. They got in because of their name and past history. They will soon have 4 losses.
  11. With the warmup ensuing after the first week and little qpf in the offing, it's starting to look to me like January may be a lost cause. The upcoming pattern doesn't appear very favorable. These little quick shots aren't going to do it.
  12. Euro further north than GFS and Ukie for Sunday, resulting in mix and rain for EMA. Based on the Euro's 5-6 day performance in the last system, I'll wait on them until 24-36 hrs.
  13. 18z NAM collapses the cold air south and enhances the qpf so that we could get 2-3 inches on and after midnight in this area.
  14. Looks to me like the cave is coming from other than the Euro.
  15. If this is any sign of how models are going to interpret future winter storms, it's going to be a long winter with much bridge jumping.
  16. Again, this model shows 3º C vs -1º C on the Euro at 850 @ 0z Wed for this area. Would you go with an experimental model or the Euro at this point if you had to make a forecast?
  17. This model war will be won or lost at the 925 level. At 0z Wed, the NAM has 4º C in this area vs -1º C for the Euro.
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