GFS does show winds of 15 kts with higher gusts in eastern areas between 06z and 12z Monday, so there could be some blizzard conditions for a time, but few will be on the road at that time thankfully.
Winds were even stronger and for longer on the NAM.
It's been quite a while since we've had days and days of model consistency so far ahead of a blockbuster storm, without even one model run losing the storm or sending it ots, .
Looking at the 0z suite thus far, it appears that by 12Z Monday it is basically over, with a couple of inches after that. Not the best models, but just saying.
With the warmup ensuing after the first week and little qpf in the offing, it's starting to look to me like January may be a lost cause. The upcoming pattern doesn't appear very favorable. These little quick shots aren't going to do it.
Euro further north than GFS and Ukie for Sunday, resulting in mix and rain for EMA. Based on the Euro's 5-6 day performance in the last system, I'll wait on them until 24-36 hrs.
Again, this model shows 3º C vs -1º C on the Euro at 850 @ 0z Wed for this area. Would you go with an experimental model or the Euro at this point if you had to make a forecast?