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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
  2. 78Blizzard
    And the qpf enhancement continues run after run.
  3. 78Blizzard
    Gives me 6" after 12z Monday, right up to 06z Tuesday.
  4. 78Blizzard
    Boston in Feb '78 had snow at rates of up to 4 inches/hr, combined with hurricane-force winds and coastal flooding due to a record storm surge. This storm will be tame compared to that one.
  5. 78Blizzard
    The town finally picked up the Christmas trees yesterday. I had sent them an email 2 days ago warning them that the trees could become a hidden hazard under the snow, and that all the snow and ice would only make the trees heavier for pickup. I guess they got the message. Usually they pick up the trees the week following New Year's Day.
  6. 78Blizzard
    The Euro is the weakest of the models in eastern areas.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Each model run of just about every model keeps increasing the qpf, getting closer to 2" for the storm total. It looks like we should add 3-4 inches on Monday after 12z.
  8. 78Blizzard
    Euro has a nice snowstorm for the Cape on Friday.
  9. 78Blizzard
    Yup.
  10. 78Blizzard
    Agree.
  11. 78Blizzard
    I noted earlier that there is something wrong with Pivotal's 10-1 ratio on both the 18z and 0z runs for the Ukie, at least. The 10-1 snowfall total doesn't correspond with the qpf.
  12. 78Blizzard
    Those Storm Vista maps are always overdone. I don't see that in any of the model runs on Pivotal. Those are 10-1 ratios, which would bring E MA to 30" or more with the higher ratios.
  13. 78Blizzard
    Something is wrong with Pivotal's Ukie algorithm. The 18z and 0z 10-1 snowfall totals are much higher than the qpf would suggest.
  14. 78Blizzard
    ICON was a bit colder aloft than at 18z, so that helped the ratios. And that was a good trend to stop the progression of the taint. And verbatim after 12z, that added another 4 inches thanks to the ratios.
  15. 78Blizzard
    The Canadian models are the least impressive.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Sleet doesn't get as far north as the Nam in SE NE. Also, more amped than 12z.
  17. 78Blizzard
    NAM is a touch warmer this run.
  18. 78Blizzard
    GFS does show winds of 15 kts with higher gusts in eastern areas between 06z and 12z Monday, so there could be some blizzard conditions for a time, but few will be on the road at that time thankfully. Winds were even stronger and for longer on the NAM.
  19. 78Blizzard
    Very little here. Just noise at this point.
  20. 78Blizzard
    It's been quite a while since we've had days and days of model consistency so far ahead of a blockbuster storm, without even one model run losing the storm or sending it ots, .
  21. 78Blizzard
  22. 78Blizzard
    That was 12z. The 0z is even more amped.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Still adds another 3-4 inches in far eastern areas after 12z, with around .2 qpf, with ratios.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Looking at the 0z suite thus far, it appears that by 12Z Monday it is basically over, with a couple of inches after that. Not the best models, but just saying.
  25. 78Blizzard
    The 0z NAM was a definite improvement qpf-wise from 18z.
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