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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    I was just kidding with Tip last night. Little did I realize this could actually happen. Let's hope the 18z Euro was a burp run.
  2. 78Blizzard
    It's all over here at 18z according to that, while others have it just getting going then. Track looks similar to RGEM.
  3. 78Blizzard
    GEFS did the same thing.
  4. 78Blizzard
    Later now due to DST.
  5. 78Blizzard
    Any further eastward movement by the next GFS could bring us that.
  6. 78Blizzard
    That would only be fair since he warned of this threat 9 days ago.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Here's another solution from the 21z RAP. Takes it into RI, then W through CT and out to LI at 0z Wed, lol.
  8. 78Blizzard
    If the GFS is one of those members, it has to be the one furthest OTS.
  9. 78Blizzard
    Kudos to you for zeroing in on this impressive signal 9 days ago.
  10. 78Blizzard
    LOL, RGEM hooks and stalls in BOS bay.
  11. 78Blizzard
  12. 78Blizzard
    Actually, the 925s are much better by 15z than the last run.
  13. 78Blizzard
    Early hr 24 look at RGEM shows it probably wants to continue being stubborn.
  14. 78Blizzard
    That is slightly better than 10-1 here considering that there was rain at the beginning. Not surprised with the colder look aloft, as well as at the surface.
  15. 78Blizzard
    At hr 57 most of the precip is over.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Stalls over elbow of cape between 18z and 0z.
  17. 78Blizzard
    Colder NAM run at surface and aloft. 31°F at 18z here verbatim.
  18. 78Blizzard
    The 925s collapse S at 12z Tues.
  19. 78Blizzard
    Now we're getting more reasonable. WSW should be extended in some areas.
  20. 78Blizzard
    That the map is showing even minor amounts of snow at 12z Tuesday in EMA is encouraging.
  21. 78Blizzard
    FWIW, which is probably not much, the mesos ARW, NSSL, and FV3 each respectively bring the low over the BM, just off the coast of NJ, and into NYC/CT, although if anyone can figure out where the nipple low is on the FV3, good luck.
  22. 78Blizzard
    I meant as far as a foot or more. Moderate impact here, too.
  23. 78Blizzard
    If the NAM and GFS go to that nipple into CT it's game over for EMA and many other areas.
  24. 78Blizzard
    UK was 5°F colder at the surface here at 18z Tuesday than its previous run, yet the Euro was 6°F warmer than 0z run. It was all about that nipple. The Euro had it and UK didn't. Same with the 925 thermals at 18z.
  25. 78Blizzard
    UK is 5 degrees colder here at 18z Tuesday vs the 0z run and the 925 temps are also colder. But then the low at 0z is west of last night's run, so the thermals then go higher. It will all come down to the position of that low between 18z and 0z. The UK and Canadian are the furthest west, pending the Euro.
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