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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. Yeah, the first week of November looks to be well BN. Anyone who hasn't had a frost by then will probably see one, if not a freeze.
  2. True that. Uncle was the only model that had the high close to what happened here today. It showed a high of 89F at 18z, while just about every other model, including the mesos, had us in the 90's at 18z.
  3. Another fail by most of the models again, at least here. GFS had a high of 96F here today, but the high was 88F, now 86F. So we fail once again to reach 90F here as had been predicted so many times since early August. The last 90F here was back sometime in July, and we reached it only twice this summer. But we have made up for that with the high humidity. It's almost like the models are controlled by the warmistas, lol.
  4. I see the 12z GFS finally threw in the towel on us getting into the 90's. First run in a while that I've seen without anything even approaching 90 here for the entire run. That probably means we will see some.
  5. The GFS week after week continues to push for 90's here, but it just doesn't happen. That model upgrade has definitely shown a warm bias. Look at the 0z differences with h850 temps between the GFS and the Canadian for day 8 next Monday, especially from the plains and lakes region east.
  6. The high here yesterday was 87, today 86. Now 85. I notice that the GFS is still warm biased, at least at this location. Yesterday's 12z GFS run had a high here of 93 yesterday, and the 18z run had a high of 95 today.
  7. The end result is not much changed from 12z. Ray looks to do a bit better. Nice hit for BOS metro.
  8. At first glance at hr 12 it looks like the Euro should be west of the 12z run.
  9. Pivotal seems to always have a problem with the snow map for the crazy uncle. Not sure why that is.
  10. I doubt the Euro at this stage is going to be the outlier, but I could be wrong.
  11. BOS still under a WWA. No update yet from BOX despite these latest runs. Even the mesos have warning snows for BOS. In fact, all 12 different models I have seen have warning snows. Not one has less. I guess they are all wrong.
  12. Notice too that those winds from that point on are strong from the NW, eliminating any marine influence from the earlier NE winds.
  13. 3k NAM has freezing or below in BOS area from 20z until the end.
  14. The 18z was evidence that we can't lock it. But the Hrrr was showing a similar setup at 0z, further E and N from its 18z run, so we have 2 models moving in the right direction to start 0z.
  15. Yeah, it's E and when it make the left turn and loops it stays offshore keeping us in the goods.
  16. Hrrr was good for EMA, too. Went from 2" to 10" from 18z run. Low went further E and N before the left turn and loop.
  17. Correction- I misread your post as being at 18z when it is 15z, so ignore what I said.
  18. The GFS and NAM at 18Z show 925s -2 to -3, including the CMC and UK at 12z, so the Euro is all alone with those thermals at 0.
  19. LOL, the 22z RAP just cut back on that to 5" for that 4 hr period.
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