78Blizzard
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Everything posted by 78Blizzard
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Yeah, you weren't giving them much yesterday. -
Is there any chance that bad data was ingested that was thus picked up by all models? Also, if you look at the last 6 runs of the 3k NAM, it has consistently brought the outer limits of the qpf shield down from upstate NY to where it is now on each successive run. So this has been telegraphed to some degree, but the Euro didn't pick up on it that quickly.
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Even a 30-40 mile shift back N will make a big difference for many. This isn't done yet.
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The Cape is waiting for the apologies for being dumped on yesterday when claiming to be in the jack.
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It's actually worse. Probably don't even need a WSW for most if that verifies.
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Quite a difference now between the juicier mesos and the Euro and Ukie.
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Euro takes a step toward the Ukie.
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There will be a lot of this if that Ukie verifies.
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03z RAP is also really juiced:
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0z FV3 really juiced.
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The ICON is reflecting taint for BOS south, including some inland areas.
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What would be really funny is the 18z GFS verifying so that 2-4" became 20" down on the outer Cape.
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They really need to correct that model's warm bias. It is worse than the previous iteration.
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Congrats Chatham.
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The 3k NAM says 1"/hr rate minimum between 13z and 21z, with 2"/hr at times for BOS area.
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The NAM has never been bullish about this system for us, save for one run.
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The Euro is the only model showing more snow on the Kuchie than the 10-1 map for EMA areas.
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Ray might get an inch out of that, lol.
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Let's see if the last holdout, the Ukie, can get on board now.
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It was keeping with the trend, though, as it's further N than 12z.
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I'll go out on a limb then and say that we will overachieve this time.
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Euro has 925 50 kt winds for most of EMA, which could easily transfer some of that to the surface at the height of the storm. Definitely will have blizzard conditions there if that verifies.
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Showing its warm bias again. It is 4-9°F warmer here than every other model at the onset.
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Carbon copy of the Canadian.
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
78Blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Here's the 0z. What it tells me is that runs every 6 hours out in la la land are almost worthless, as evidenced from some of these 6 hour changes.
