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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    NOAA missed the boat on their winter temp prediction around these parts, as well as other areas around the country. I put little faith in these predictions. https://www.weather.gov/arx/winter2526outlook
  2. 78Blizzard
    I don't know all the models that go into the NBM, but given the projections from the GFS, Euro, and other standard models which appear to have missed the mark by a substantial amount, perhaps we should start looking at some of these other models, especially for storms like this.
  3. 78Blizzard
    Reports have come in that Providence has received 34 inches. Something doesn't add up here, or you were in a hole.
  4. 78Blizzard
    ARW cut qpf here from 1.99" to 1.27" as of 0z 2/24.
  5. 78Blizzard
  6. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, they did. And after taking 3 hours to drive home and actually make it, which is normally a half hour ride, I needed the rest. If I didn't take the back roads home instead of my usual ride on route 128, I would have been one of the thousands stranded there. And i got stuck a couple of times and was lucky to make it home. So yeah, I know the outside existed.
  7. 78Blizzard
    I slept soundly during the blizzard of '78. There was no internet to check, and thus no meso models to get updated.
  8. 78Blizzard
    Doesn't that include some from Wed and Fri?
  9. 78Blizzard
    ICON held serve, actually enhanced qpf in some areas.
  10. 78Blizzard
    Still a crushing on the HRRR, but qpf cut back significantly from 12z, which was overdone most likely in SE MA.
  11. 78Blizzard
    SREF is furthest west, GFS and CMC furthest east.
  12. 78Blizzard
    15z SREF held serve at 15z, still a crushing.
  13. 78Blizzard
    SREF held serve at 03z from 21z. Still a crushing.
  14. 78Blizzard
    Even the Euro track is a bit further north at 36 hr and further west at 42 hr than the 12z run. Don't have access to the 18z run. Qpf enhanced from the 12z run.
  15. 78Blizzard
    Just saw a map on TWC, and it looks like they are riding the GFS since that map looked much like the GFS qpf distribution at 0z. Just a day or two ago, one of them said the likelihood of the GFS solution (which was more robust than the Euro at the time) was very slim. You can't make this stuff up.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Also, they have ARW, HRRR, RAP, and other mesos.
  17. 78Blizzard
    Qpf way down from 18z run despite similar track.
  18. 78Blizzard
  19. 78Blizzard
    That had the slightest of ticks west from 15z. No eastward movement in another model. Sorry GFS.
  20. 78Blizzard
    Ukie held serve from 12z - no eastward shift.
  21. 78Blizzard
    When you say everything, you must not mean the 18z NAM or the 18z HRRR, which didn't. Whether or not they are in their zones.
  22. 78Blizzard
    I still think many here are on the verge of bridge jumping, . They can say they are just kidding, but we know better.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Let's get real about one run of the GFS. Yesterday's 18z run had 2.16" qpf here for this storm only, then at 0z it had only 1.29", before going back up to 1.91" at 06z. Now it's back down to 1.55" at 18z. I'll bet it's back up significantly again at 0z.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Flies in the face of NAM and the Mesos which have been moving nnw.
  25. 78Blizzard
    LOL, just saw a storm update on FoxNews and their map depicted an area of 24-36" just south of Boston toward the Cape.
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