EPS based on the mean keeps it 32°F or below here for the duration. A further northward track will change that, and I expect that mean to tick north in future runs.
Wow, that's some cold modeled for the 15th out in Iowa for the caucuses. They will be below zero all day, with a low by the next morning in western Iowa reaching -33°F, while BOS bathes at 36°F.
Hopefully we will get some agreement among the op models going forward. The Euro was the biggest deviator from 0z to 12z. They all have different ideas on what that high to our north is going to do.