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Everything posted by 78Blizzard
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
78Blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
In a few days NNE will start getting temperatures regularly into the 40's most nights, maybe even a few upper 30's, as we head toward September. Swimming pools will be cooling down fast. Even here, I expect the pool will have to be closed before Labor day, which is about the latest it ever comes. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
78Blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Here we go again with the model wars. The 12z GFS has the 9 day here at 100ºF, while both the Euro and CMC have us at 72ºF. Both the Euro and CMC have deep troughs over the east at 500 mb, while the GFS has nothing. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
78Blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Seems our friend at Mt. Tolland gets easily confused when confronted with facts. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
78Blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Another day failing to make it to 90 here. That makes it 1 out of 5 days so far that the GFS has us 90+. Today we were supposed to hit 94 here. The high was 88. Currently 86. We hit 90 for about 1 hour on Friday. Just your typical summer period with high humidity. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
78Blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
87/73 here now. We have hit 90 for a total of one hour this week, and that was on Friday. So much for those 6 straight days of 90+ the GFS was spitting out for days. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
78Blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Latest Euro says to GFS, what 90's next week? -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
78Blizzard replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I'll sell the 6 days of 90+ that the 18z GFS shows for 8/6-8/11. It won't be the first time this summer that the warmista model was wrong. -
Definitely having brownouts in this area today. We have window air conditioners in the living room and the bedrooms upstairs, and apparently the living room and one of the bedrooms are on the same electrical circuit as they shut off twice today. We have lived in this house for over 45 years and never had this happen. The work around was to find a bedroom outlet not on the same circuit and use the heavy duty extension to keep them both running.
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High was 96 yesterday and 97 today. Now 96. But those GFS maps a day ago were showing 100+ for both days here, Friday, too. Tomorrow will be similar to today. Just your normal summer heat wave, nothing abnormal from a climate standpoint. If the Euro is right, Tuesday you might need a sweater or jacket on the golf course. And an umbrella.
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The Weather Company and Atmospheric G2 project a cooler-than-average late summer for the Great Lakes and Northeast, with all 3 months cooler than normal Jul-Sep. This is the opposite of what NOAA has for the Northeast.
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This is now the 3rd time in the past month or so that the GFS has shown 100+F temps. The Euro isn't biting with a strong high out west, which it's been showing for several runs now. I think we need another GFS rewrite. It's such a warmista.
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NOAA missed the boat on their winter temp prediction around these parts, as well as other areas around the country. I put little faith in these predictions. https://www.weather.gov/arx/winter2526outlook
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
78Blizzard replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
I don't know all the models that go into the NBM, but given the projections from the GFS, Euro, and other standard models which appear to have missed the mark by a substantial amount, perhaps we should start looking at some of these other models, especially for storms like this. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
78Blizzard replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Reports have come in that Providence has received 34 inches. Something doesn't add up here, or you were in a hole. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
78Blizzard replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
ARW cut qpf here from 1.99" to 1.27" as of 0z 2/24. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
78Blizzard replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
78Blizzard replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Yeah, they did. And after taking 3 hours to drive home and actually make it, which is normally a half hour ride, I needed the rest. If I didn't take the back roads home instead of my usual ride on route 128, I would have been one of the thousands stranded there. And i got stuck a couple of times and was lucky to make it home. So yeah, I know the outside existed. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
78Blizzard replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
I slept soundly during the blizzard of '78. There was no internet to check, and thus no meso models to get updated. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
78Blizzard replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Doesn't that include some from Wed and Fri? -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
78Blizzard replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
ICON held serve, actually enhanced qpf in some areas. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
78Blizzard replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Still a crushing on the HRRR, but qpf cut back significantly from 12z, which was overdone most likely in SE MA.
