Well, it's up to the Euro now.
A day or two ago it was the GFS against the world. Will it now be the Euro against the world? If the Euro caves, it may be time to move on to the next threat.
The GEFS actually went about 40-50 mi east, but nothing like the GFS. That was a burp run on the GFS. It's coming back west next run. The GEFS was still decent in E MA and the Cape.
I remember the one almost 16 years to the day back in 2010 while my son and I were attending the commemoration of the 125 year anniversary of the Blue Hill Observatory. Kocin and Uccellini during their lectures were wondering if they were going to be able to get back to Baltimore/DC with a massive storm down there while we were sucking extreme cold and cirrus. Maybe we weren't that close on that one. But at least we got signed copies of "Northeast Snowstorms".
EPS followed the Euro with a marked improvement to the NW. One more run like that and much of E MA will be sharing the cape's good stuff.
I was comparing to 12z.
It's the GFS against the world. But the Euro gives the cape 1"+ qpf. Another move nw like this one would get that qpf up to the Boston area.
But if the GFS starts heading east at 06 and/or 12z, it's probably time to move on to the next threat.