Here is Frontier, the world's fastest supercomputer, at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, which can make more than 1.1 billion billion computations per second. I wonder if NOAA can utilize this?
If we go back before New Years Day, all the model ensembles said the same thing. Cold and dry for the next 2 weeks. They were right.
For this specific so-called threat, the one model that never strayed from that cold and dry scenario for even one run was the UK.
With all the uncertainty on this, I still don't know why NOAA didn't schedule some recon flights in the Pac region. Unless they don't think this one was worth it.
It's to the point now that we are hoping for a little moisture enhancement from the northern stream moving over the unfrozen Great Lakes making its way this far to give us a couple of inches.
Thanks to that nice bust before Christmas with 6.75" here, and 8" on the season, I'm not complaining. But this could be the first season in a long time with more snow in Dec. than Jan. here.