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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. That's what I get for going to AI for the answer.
  2. Hard to believe that Boston was only 0.4 degrees F below normal for January. I'm sure many suburbs around the city were much colder than that.
  3. Hopefully this 7-day forecast will work out better than your 5-day prediction for this latest miss.
  4. We cold and dry... The only good to come out of this is that SST's are the lowest in 12 years, so any marginal storms in March may work in our favor.
  5. Looks like the Euro on next Thursday gives us a repeat performance of this Sunday's scenario.
  6. Well, it's up to the Euro now. A day or two ago it was the GFS against the world. Will it now be the Euro against the world? If the Euro caves, it may be time to move on to the next threat.
  7. Did the AI agent weight all these models the same, without regard for the crap that some of them are?
  8. Yeah, maybe the GFS and Euro both burped in opposite ways, and they will both find the middle ground at 0z.
  9. We went from 12 good hits for E MA on the last run to 20 or so on this run. I got my microscope out.
  10. Curious what the NAM is going to show later. It was leading the way on the 18z suite, notwithstanding the GFS.
  11. The GEFS actually went about 40-50 mi east, but nothing like the GFS. That was a burp run on the GFS. It's coming back west next run. The GEFS was still decent in E MA and the Cape.
  12. Even Hazey up in NS is going to have trouble getting his double digits with that run of the GFS.
  13. Good start to the 18z suite with NAM, ICON, and ICON-EPS all with the west trend.
  14. Still early on the NAM, but the h5 is trending west from the last run. That ridge out west has trended west as well.
  15. There were a dozen good hits in there for E MA.
  16. The Euro AI trend has been SE the last 3 runs.
  17. I remember the one almost 16 years to the day back in 2010 while my son and I were attending the commemoration of the 125 year anniversary of the Blue Hill Observatory. Kocin and Uccellini during their lectures were wondering if they were going to be able to get back to Baltimore/DC with a massive storm down there while we were sucking extreme cold and cirrus. Maybe we weren't that close on that one. But at least we got signed copies of "Northeast Snowstorms".
  18. EPS followed the Euro with a marked improvement to the NW. One more run like that and much of E MA will be sharing the cape's good stuff. I was comparing to 12z.
  19. It's the GFS against the world. But the Euro gives the cape 1"+ qpf. Another move nw like this one would get that qpf up to the Boston area. But if the GFS starts heading east at 06 and/or 12z, it's probably time to move on to the next threat.
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