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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    It's 2 days.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Did you see the ?
  3. 78Blizzard
    BOX has been burnt too many times in the past. They figure to start low, and can always raise them as we get closer, lol.
  4. 78Blizzard
    I'm thinking the opposite, that watches will be extended for many coastal areas.
  5. 78Blizzard
    Based on that BOX map, they are riding their own private model.
  6. 78Blizzard
  7. 78Blizzard
    LOL. Half the forum is praying for the Canadian solutions, and half for the GFS and NAM.
  8. 78Blizzard
    GFS and NAM both colder at 925 this run.
  9. 78Blizzard
    I noticed that at 18z Tuesday, the NAM, CMC, and RGEM all have temps here at 33-34 with winds out of the north, whereas the GFS and UK have temps at 37-39 with winds still strong out of the northeast. That and the UK showing the 925 0°C line further north than those other models.
  10. 78Blizzard
    It's 16", but who's counting...
  11. 78Blizzard
    That is one of the most reasonable snow maps I've seen in days. Funny it's from the CMC run.
  12. 78Blizzard
    Once we got to 18z and after, the winds began turning into the N bringing down the colder air to our north. Still some colder temps around despite the warmer air at the beginning.
  13. 78Blizzard
    At least it cut way down those insane QPF amounts from 18z. Still not great for BOS metro, but an improvement.
  14. 78Blizzard
    This obviously won't happen, but it would be funny if the system chased that convection out to the east and slipped away with minimal impacts. The meltdowns would be epic.
  15. 78Blizzard
    The one positive on the NAM is that it didn't take the 925 0°C line into southern NH as did the 18z Euro. In fact, the line didn't make it past the CT, RI, SE mass border.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Much worse than 18z.
  17. 78Blizzard
    No worries...
  18. 78Blizzard
    That's a little colder solution than 12z, but still a mess for many places.
  19. 78Blizzard
    My point about ignoring the GFS is for the period up to 8pm Tuesday, which, as I said, showed anywhere from 7-19" for ORH. The map obviously didn't reflect that scenario, or gave it short shrift.
  20. 78Blizzard
    This is when we really need Harvey Leonard around.
  21. 78Blizzard
    ? How does that relate to what I said? I knew that based on my comment.
  22. 78Blizzard
    The GFS 18z run had 4" for WOR after 8pm Tuesday. But through 8pm it had anywhere from 7-19" depending on that insane cutoff. So they must be ignoring the GFS scenario.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Despite the mess, still not a bad outcome in the end here.
  24. 78Blizzard
    It just goes to show that even with the technological improvements and super computers over the years, we still have a long way to go in weather modeling. I'm surprised that NCEP or whoever is in charge didn't request recon flights for this system, given the uncertain nature and the likelihood of coastal flooding and wind damage.
  25. 78Blizzard
    The GFS couldn't even get it right on 1 day out just last week.
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