Checking NYC snow totals should tell us all we need to know here, at least based on that Euro scenario. If they end up receiving several inches or more, then we should do better than what the Euro is showing.
TV mets say rain and up to 4" inside 95, yet Euro (and GFS) says those areas get the heaviest snow, clown map or not. Other clowns say the same. The same clown maps have no problem showing rain for the CMC, NAM and even the Ukie.