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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    Euro further west with a direct hit at Cape Hatteras with a strengthening system after weakening further south.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Sounds to me like TWC is putting their chips on the Euro ensembles, with not one of their members showing it hitting FL. That, despite their warnings that FL is not totally out of the woods. I wouldn't be surprised to see that cone shifted slightly west at the 11 pm advisory.
  3. 78Blizzard
    18Z hurricane model HWRF further sw last two runs now, with inner eyewall over Cape Canaveral and then inland west of St. Augustine and west of Jacksonville. Comes ashore as a weak CAT 2.
  4. 78Blizzard
    I've never seen a track like the GFS follow the contour of the coastline all the way from south FL up through Cape Hatteras without making landfall anywhere. It's almost like the coastline is an impenetrable wall. I'm not buying it. This run puts the Cape & Islands into the outer fringe. Any further movement west and north could be interesting. The previous run had it moving more ENE much further south, now the movement is to the NE.
  5. 78Blizzard
    The 12z hurricane models, HWRF and HMON, have definitely trended back to the west and south. And the interim 6z run of the Euro has also. In fact the HMON now has a landfall just north of FL in Brunswick, GA and hugging the coast right up to Savannah. Be interesting to see the 12z Euro.
  6. 78Blizzard
    It's still progged as a CAT 2 in NE FL on Wednesday evening. Very slow moving. If that high to our north is slow to move out later in the week, this could come closer to us as it deteriorates in cooler waters.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Visibility lowering and the wet streets are now snow covered.
  8. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, I remember attending the Blue Hill Observatory 125th anniversary with my son in late January, 2010 on a brutal cold day here. Paul Kocin and Dr. Louis Uccellini were following the big storm hitting the mid Atlantic while they were giving their lecture.
  9. 78Blizzard
    Just shoveled the front walkway and measured 18 inches. That area is not subject to drifting like the driveway, so an accurate figure. Could have lost an inch due to compaction since it wasn't measured during the storm. Also, there is a band about to come through with another one now flaring up further west, so could add another 1 or 2 inches to that.
  10. 78Blizzard
    One side of my long driveway is lined with about 20 5' global arborvitaes that are really hanging down. Will have to go out to brush them off after dinner. Happens this way in these heavy snowfalls.
  11. 78Blizzard
    Visibility here now 1/4 mile or less. Really dumping.
  12. 78Blizzard
    The guy across the street snow blowed his driveway about an hour ago, and judging from the sides of the paths we already have over a foot here.
  13. 78Blizzard
    Heaviest here now since this AM.
  14. 78Blizzard
    It looks like that band further west is consolidating with that death band, so there may not be much of a lull between them by the time it gets here.
  15. 78Blizzard
    We're ripping now as that band has finally arrived.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, it's halted its E movement so that we can't quite get into the meat of that band. Just on the edge.
  17. 78Blizzard
    But the east edge has finally made it here and things are ramping up again.
  18. 78Blizzard
    We are in a screw hole here right now.
  19. 78Blizzard
    ACK showing 980 mb reading.
  20. 78Blizzard
    That's why it's the king.
  21. 78Blizzard
    The 18z GFS had around 3" for NYC at 6z, so it's a complete fail. They will probably have a foot or more by then.
  22. 78Blizzard
    From NYC forum at Accuweather, Ryan Maue tweeted that the forecast boils down to ECMWF at 1 AM. Decision to trash the entire USA suite of models and go with 1 European. Such anticipation lol: http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=253203
  23. 78Blizzard
    The NAM spit out total qpf of 2.45 for OWD. At 15 to 1 ratios that would be 3 feet. But it is the NAM.
  24. 78Blizzard
    I was on my way to work in Needham when Don Kent came on the radio just before noon concerned that if the storm didn't start soon, he thought the phase might not take place. In a little over an hour a wall of snow hit blowing sideways. Left work within 15 minutes of the start, and took 3 hours to get home to Randolph taking the back roads, normally a 30 minute drive. If I had gone 128, I probably would have been stranded up by Dedham, Canton.
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