78Blizzard
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Everything posted by 78Blizzard
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You have some support here for this: I saw another post by Tip where he said he was 100% certain, but couldn't find it. He must have deleted it - no one wants to be 100% certain of anything right now. But maybe he's talking about real compression - another MA deal.
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Let's wait for the EPS. Somehow, I think all of the ensembles are going SE of their ops.
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Maybe it's good that the model upgrade has been delayed by the shutdown. Maybe it's not's ready for prime time.
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Wasn't the EPS further SE than the op, too?
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War!
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This was the CMC 6 days before our present miss to the south :
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If the GFS and Euro hold serve at 0z and are joined by the CMC and Ukie, I would put a lot more belief in this solution despite it being 6 days out. That's a BIG "if", though.
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Yeah, like the present one going to our south. Different setup, but just saying.
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No it won't. The uninformed will blame the storm on global warming, as they are unable to differentiate between single weather events and climate.
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You already said that with the EPS. When the CMC trends the same tonight, just say it again.
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It has that high up in Canada extending to the east. Good sign.
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Maybe the Chargers should just call it quits at halftime and head back to sunny, warm LA. The Pats are 58-0 in regular and post season games in Foxboro with a 21 point or more lead.
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Even Jimmy can't complain with that.
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The GEPS is nothing like the GGEM at 12z. LP is E of ACK at 18z Sunday.
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The Chargers don't seem to like the cold weather.
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What happened to your faith in the Euro as the king?
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If the Euro could be steadfast from D7 in this storm GIA staying to our south, then I expect no less from it from D7 this time.
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It's in roughly the same position as the 0z CMC had it which showed a crushing.
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It may be for NYC.
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Ukie a bit slower than GFS at 144 hr.
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It looks like the Euro keeps all but the south coast below 0°C at 850° for the duration, while the EPS keeps everyone except ACK below.
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It does look good.
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At h500 the Euro looks more like the CMC than the GFS @ 144 hr.
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Not one model I have seen is even close to the benchmark.
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What I like about the CMC solution is the large high stretching from MN to just N of ME. It moves E, keeping the storm moving E as well. The high finally starts to recede later Sunday allowing the system to turn to the NE. But like it's been this winter so far, we have to thread the needle again. This solution is going to keep changing back and forth, as we go from ecstasy to melting.
