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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    Yup.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Agree.
  3. 78Blizzard
    I noted earlier that there is something wrong with Pivotal's 10-1 ratio on both the 18z and 0z runs for the Ukie, at least. The 10-1 snowfall total doesn't correspond with the qpf.
  4. 78Blizzard
    Those Storm Vista maps are always overdone. I don't see that in any of the model runs on Pivotal. Those are 10-1 ratios, which would bring E MA to 30" or more with the higher ratios.
  5. 78Blizzard
    Something is wrong with Pivotal's Ukie algorithm. The 18z and 0z 10-1 snowfall totals are much higher than the qpf would suggest.
  6. 78Blizzard
    ICON was a bit colder aloft than at 18z, so that helped the ratios. And that was a good trend to stop the progression of the taint. And verbatim after 12z, that added another 4 inches thanks to the ratios.
  7. 78Blizzard
    The Canadian models are the least impressive.
  8. 78Blizzard
    Sleet doesn't get as far north as the Nam in SE NE. Also, more amped than 12z.
  9. 78Blizzard
    NAM is a touch warmer this run.
  10. 78Blizzard
    GFS does show winds of 15 kts with higher gusts in eastern areas between 06z and 12z Monday, so there could be some blizzard conditions for a time, but few will be on the road at that time thankfully. Winds were even stronger and for longer on the NAM.
  11. 78Blizzard
    Very little here. Just noise at this point.
  12. 78Blizzard
    It's been quite a while since we've had days and days of model consistency so far ahead of a blockbuster storm, without even one model run losing the storm or sending it ots, .
  13. 78Blizzard
  14. 78Blizzard
    That was 12z. The 0z is even more amped.
  15. 78Blizzard
    Still adds another 3-4 inches in far eastern areas after 12z, with around .2 qpf, with ratios.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Looking at the 0z suite thus far, it appears that by 12Z Monday it is basically over, with a couple of inches after that. Not the best models, but just saying.
  17. 78Blizzard
    The 0z NAM was a definite improvement qpf-wise from 18z.
  18. 78Blizzard
    Wonder what a few of those members are smoking with qpf of 0.5 or less?
  19. 78Blizzard
    Ukie has it next Sunday with a big hit for many. But it's all alone in the globals.
  20. 78Blizzard
    03z RAP gone wild with a norlun look and warning snows for much of the area.
  21. 78Blizzard
    With 3 losses, Alabama shouldn't even be in this playoff. They got in because of their name and past history. They will soon have 4 losses.
  22. 78Blizzard
    With the warmup ensuing after the first week and little qpf in the offing, it's starting to look to me like January may be a lost cause. The upcoming pattern doesn't appear very favorable. These little quick shots aren't going to do it.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Nice trending near go time.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Euro further north than GFS and Ukie for Sunday, resulting in mix and rain for EMA. Based on the Euro's 5-6 day performance in the last system, I'll wait on them until 24-36 hrs.
  25. 78Blizzard
    18z NAM collapses the cold air south and enhances the qpf so that we could get 2-3 inches on and after midnight in this area.
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