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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 3K Nam has me freezing or below at all levels during the meat of this, from 15z Sat to 01z Sun, with .50 qpf, so I'm figuring 4-5" of snow if the 3k is right. Or is that too optimistic?
  2. Well, start a thread for the Sat-Sun potential storm, if we can call it that.
  3. Wouldn't be surprised if this morning's low of 22F here isn't seen again until 2022.
  4. What made the GFS take that dive east just south of us? It's not like we have any real blocking.
  5. UK seemed to consolidate the lows this run as opposed to 12z with the dual lows at 96 hr. I think it will move further NW the next run. Still was a better solution than 12z.
  6. 3k NAM looks nice for Fri night-Sat am, as does the HRRR.
  7. Of course they are. I did leave the clown range caveat, but a bit more consistency over a 12 hour period would be welcomed. If solutions can be that different, why even bother going beyond 240 hrs? What's the point?
  8. Yeah, look at the 2m temp anomaly change from 0z to 12z, lol, on 11/25 over the entire country and Canada. Up to 55F difference in southern Alberta and major differences in Eastern US. Clown range, but still...
  9. What the 12z GFS giveth, the 18z taketh away.
  10. Aren't we under a La Nina watch? Strong Atlantic hurricane season usually means a strong La Nina.
  11. Midwest and south later this week 10-20°F BN, while we bake 10-15°F AN. What's with the heat island up here?
  12. 18z GEFS maintains that ridge out west from d9-d15, and then relaxes it to more of a zonal flow near the end of the run. But 850s stay in single digits here with most days BN.
  13. EPS and GEFS @ hr 240 are almost copies of each other - far different than the Euro op.
  14. GFS remains the outlier as far as cooler temps down the road. Euro, Canadian warmer.
  15. Quite the change for us at h5 in the long range on the GFS from 12z to 18z. October looks to be coming in quite BN for at least the first few days.
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