No consistency in these hurricane models. The 18z HMON now has a cat 1 @ hr 84 and is further northeast and will pass just E of ACK as a weaker TS. The 18z HWRF is now a much weaker system and is a strong TS @ hr 84.
12z HWRF has a cat 3-4 about 300 mi south of the cape @ hr 90 but which then rapidly weakens before coming ashore in LI and CT. The HMON has a very weak TS or even a depression @hr 90. Quite a variance in those two hurricane models.
Yeah, the GFS @ day 6-7 has 30" of snow for parts of central ME on the fantasy snow maps. And it has another 30" for the remainder of the run, lol.
57°F here now. Max was 58°.
It seems that this winter the models have shown us that at 7 days out a snowstorm has about a 10% chance of verifying, while at 7 days out a rainstorm has about a 90% chance of verifying.
The Euro has 2-4"+ of qpf over the 6 state region the next 10 days, so drought hysterics are a bit premature if that verifies. And we are just going into the seasonal time for spring rains.