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78Blizzard

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  1. 78Blizzard
    At 11 pm Henri was at 38.6N 71.0W, or precisely where the HWRF had it on their 18z run. Since this model has been the most accurate at every measuring point as was mentioned earlier, I would put the landfall in Newport, RI as the HWRF shows.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Looks like an eyewall may be trying to form at the end of that loop.
  3. 78Blizzard
    3k Nam @ hr 51 had pressure of 915 mb. That is pressure you usually find in cat 4-5. Won't happen.
  4. 78Blizzard
    6-7" qpf for se MA
  5. 78Blizzard
    Whoever ends up E of the center will have the worst of it, especially on the south coast.
  6. 78Blizzard
    I understand that the snow in northern Maine remained on the ground until the following Spring.
  7. 78Blizzard
    No consistency in these hurricane models. The 18z HMON now has a cat 1 @ hr 84 and is further northeast and will pass just E of ACK as a weaker TS. The 18z HWRF is now a much weaker system and is a strong TS @ hr 84.
  8. 78Blizzard
    12z HWRF has a cat 3-4 about 300 mi south of the cape @ hr 90 but which then rapidly weakens before coming ashore in LI and CT. The HMON has a very weak TS or even a depression @hr 90. Quite a variance in those two hurricane models.
  9. 78Blizzard
    The NAM is showing once again why it is generally useless beyond 24 hours.
  10. 78Blizzard
    The rains have hit Augusta, suspending play there.
  11. 78Blizzard
    72°F here now. High 73°. First 70° of the season. Don't expect another one until possibly near the end of the month.
  12. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, the GFS @ day 6-7 has 30" of snow for parts of central ME on the fantasy snow maps. And it has another 30" for the remainder of the run, lol. 57°F here now. Max was 58°.
  13. 78Blizzard
    It seems that this winter the models have shown us that at 7 days out a snowstorm has about a 10% chance of verifying, while at 7 days out a rainstorm has about a 90% chance of verifying.
  14. 78Blizzard
    The Euro has 2-4"+ of qpf over the 6 state region the next 10 days, so drought hysterics are a bit premature if that verifies. And we are just going into the seasonal time for spring rains.
  15. 78Blizzard
    This is to be expected. Some on here told us we would pay for this nice March weather.
  16. 78Blizzard
    This is shocking, too:
  17. 78Blizzard
    Careful with those adjectives...Tip has scolded for using "massive".
  18. 78Blizzard
    This will be a good first test of how the new GFS performs at day 5. Granted it is only one run, but just saying.
  19. 78Blizzard
    Coming from you, that's really funny.
  20. 78Blizzard
    For every one of those maps from NOAA, there is also one like this: https://www.weather.gov/mkx/030814_Record_Ice_Coverage_on_Lake_Michigan
  21. 78Blizzard
    Quite the start for the new GFS today for north central Maine - 73" total run snowfall on the 18z, lol.
  22. 78Blizzard
    You can always tell here when a less than stellar winter season has come to an end.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Fitting end to this winter.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Title of this thread captures the moment - "last-gasp".
  25. 78Blizzard
    Tip warned us.
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