78Blizzard

GEFS members more spread out at hr90. Slight tic E on mean.

There go those EMA thumps. Methuen, too.

Trying for Cleveland...

Sure are a lot of peeps on the defensive tonight...

Yeah, if that SV snow map goes viral on Twitter, they will be flooding the supermarkets tomorrow.

We await the 18z Euro and EPS.

Up to this point the GFS op has led the ensembles. Maybe starting with the 18z the ensembles are going to show the op the way forward.

Based on the qpf total here, about half would come from the thump so it could be worse.

Can that Sat tell you what I have left on the ground?

I wouldn't even call it a pack anymore. More like remnants.

You could draw a straight line on the 12k NAM from E of the Carolinas to ME for the western edge of precip.

Nice hit Fri for the Cape on the 3k Nam.

I take it no first call tomorrow or Friday...?

I guess we're that desperate...

That's probably the best we can hope for right now.

I thought we were supposed to look at the ensembles and ignore the ops this far out? The melts will be something to behold over the next 4 days, with the slightest tick east bringing a short-lived euphoria with visions of BM positions dancing in peeps heads.

Finally caved...

The GEFS is looking like a carbon copy of 06z at this point.

You know it was a bad sign when some were ecstatic last night over that UK run. It will probably join the rest of the suite at 12z.

It only goes out to 144.

The UK looks nice for the NYC and CT area, but probably a rainstorm for BOS south.

What's interesting in that GEFS run is that at hr132 most members are clustered near the mid Atlantic, while at hr138 they scatter from there all over the place. So much uncertainty.

I think the GEFS is coming west this run.

I agree. Something that doesn't fade away with a 40F day.

The weather wasn't great on the 6th, though, according to reports: On June 6th, the weather was more tolerable, but certainly not ideal. A gusty wind blowing from the west at 15 to 20 knots produced a moderately choppy sea with waves of from 5 to 6 feet in height. This was a heavy sea for the small craft, which had some difficulty in making way. Even the assault area was rough for the shallow-draft vessels, although there the wind did not exceed 15 knots, and the waves averaged 3 feet. Visibility was 8 miles with a cloud ceiling at 10,000 to 12,000 feet. Scattered clouds from 3000 to 7000 feet covered almost half the sky over the channel, becoming denser farther inland. Maritime polar air had moved over the channel behind the cold front as the low of 4 June that was west of England moved eastward; the deep low that was off Labrador on 4 June moved north-northeast to just off the southeast coast of Greenland . This was the key to the clearing weather: if the Labrador low had tracked eastward, foul weather would have prevailed. The midlevel overcast was most serious for air operations. Heavy bombers assigned to hit the coastal fortifications at Omaha Beach had to bomb by instruments through the overcast. With concurrence of General Eisenhower, the Eighth Air Force ordered a delay of several seconds in its release of bombs, in order to insure that they were not dropped among the assault craft. The result was that the 13,000 bombs dropped by 329 B-24 bombers did not hit the enemy beach and coast defenses at all, but were scattered as far as 3 miles inland. The weather also contributed to navigational difficulties. Mist mixed with the smoke and dust raised by the naval bombardment obscured landmarks on the coast. Look at the low overcast in this picture. As an aside, the logistics of amassing thousands of ships and landing craft whatever the weather was quite a feat. Not that this would ever happen again, but you wonder if our military elites could handle this type of operation today?