I'm not asking for much, but the 0z suite would be a good place to start a definite NW trend for the OTS models. And a good place to stop the SE trend for the model hits.
Euro really has the arctic air in here early next week, GFS not so much. Euro has a low of -14F in my hood early Wed. AM, not getting above 0F on Tues.
From what I can see, the EPS is the only model with quite a few members having a primary in the eastern lakes region, so wouldn't that tend to pull the mean to the west?
I remember the almost 4 foot pack we had in Randolph on Feb 7, 1978 was mostly gone by the end of the month. And that wasn't really fluff either. No real arctic cold followed the storm as I remember.