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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Blocking pattern hasn't changed but the wavelengths have so we're getting heat instead of cool.
  2. SnoSki14
    Some action firing up on the north side of that now, perhaps we won't miss out after all.
  3. SnoSki14
    Looks like the bow will miss to the South.
  4. SnoSki14
    And you lost. Upcoming pattern looks brutal for Arctic, and if this pattern lasts through the summer like I think it will, then 2012 could go down the tubes.
  5. SnoSki14
    We're getting 90s with relatively modest ridging and wet soils, imagine what would happen if a giant heat dome were ever to set up.
  6. SnoSki14
    Not necessarily, will probably be a high min type of deal with highs hovering at or in the low 90s. That's enough for a +4
  7. SnoSki14
    Then things cool off again most likely, seems the cold pool is preventing a sustained hot pattern for now. Personally I'm not on board for a very hot July/August like some are suggesting. I think a modest +0.5-1 July departure is most likely.
  8. SnoSki14
    The upcoming pattern is an absolute ice destroyer, massive blocking high over the Arctic. Extent will plummet late June into July. https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/reforecast2/teleconn/forecast.html
  9. SnoSki14
    Just a little too far north to be impacted. South Central NJ has been the severe weather capital as of late.
  10. SnoSki14
    Had plenty of sunny breaks, very warm and humid now. Getting pretty unstable, I'd be surprised if we didn't see some flooding rains and/or severe weather later.
  11. SnoSki14
    The ice has gotten battered due to a very unfavorable May/June, and the pattern is only projected to get worse as renewed blocking develops. I expect a cliff dive in sea ice next couple weeks.
  12. SnoSki14
    Yeah that's annoying, we waited all of last winter for the -NAO to show up and nothing happened.
  13. SnoSki14
    Hopefully that stays away from my area.
  14. SnoSki14
    That persistent cold pool will temper any sort of high heat. I'd be very cautious about LR models that depict any sort of high and especially sustained heat.
  15. SnoSki14
    And soon the daylight will start to reverse, oh the horror.
  16. SnoSki14
    This is the kind of pattern where someone could get 5"+ and someone could see nothing. Best chance for widespread heavy rain will be later this week.
  17. SnoSki14
    Talk about a tepid warm signal. There's no way you're getting big heat with that massive cold pool to the NE. At best it'll be slightly AN due to high mins.
  18. SnoSki14
    Our chance at 90F this month could be shot as the big heat stays south. It's not often we see zero 90s in June.
  19. SnoSki14
    Sounds good, after last summers sauna it would be nice to see a normal summer.
  20. SnoSki14
    My windows have been open numerous times May-June, which is very rare. The dews and even the mins on several days have been very comfortable too tho that's likely to change as we get into the thick of summer.
  21. SnoSki14
    For early April yes. Still cloudy and very gusty by me. 63F.
  22. SnoSki14
    Yeah we ain't getting much from this.
  23. SnoSki14
    I'll take it. The pleasant weather has been a bit too boring for my taste.
  24. SnoSki14
    June's become one of those rare near normal months as of late kind of what March has turned into, a +0.5 to +1 month appears likely again this year.
  25. SnoSki14
    Except that the blocking is more than residual, June may set another 500mb record for blocking at this rate. Can things drastically change by July, definitely, but I've got a feeling this current pattern isn't going anywhere. And to be clear we're still technically AN right now, so the only thing that's being kept at bay is the high heat maxes.
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