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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Can't do it without strong blocking.
  2. SnoSki14
    It's probably gonna be another summer to winter scenario. Could see another big gulf system that leads the charge ahead of a major trough.
  3. SnoSki14
    It could be a lot worse. There's hints of a -EPO and at least a neutral NAO. If the NAO ends up more negative then it wouldn't be bad at all.
  4. SnoSki14
    Except we haven't seen colder winters at all, just the opposite in fact. We've seen more unusual cold spells and winter weather in various places but overall its been much warmer than normal.
  5. SnoSki14
    It's gonna summer into October and then the first snows will arrive a week later.
  6. SnoSki14
    I expect October to act like September. Lag effects of Nina pattern that developed. Favorable MJO
  7. SnoSki14
    Not for Canada
  8. SnoSki14
    Tropical threats likely to resume mid to late September as ridge builds back in.
  9. SnoSki14
    I assume these will be more frequent around here. Still that's incredible to see in NJ of all places.
  10. SnoSki14
    JB is a joke. He said Henri would be a Cat 2 hurricane and cause devastating impacts in New England. If he says September will be quiet then watch out.
  11. SnoSki14
    Yeah the crazy thing is this was just the remnants of a storm barely energized by a trough and we still got Floyd like rains. It lasted maybe 6hrs. What will happen when a strong hurricane actually impacts us directly.
  12. SnoSki14
    Wow just noticed several rivers will approach Floyd levels of flooding or set new records.
  13. SnoSki14
    Looks like my area jackpotted with 8"+ amounts. Very happy not to have a basement as everyone around me had basement flooding. I'm on a hill but downstream there's loads of flooded roadways. Even after the rain ends we'll see some major river flooding. All this from the remnants of a tropical system.
  14. SnoSki14
    Yeah we'll bust low. It's gonna get ugly.
  15. SnoSki14
    Major river flooding likely, maybe near record for some.
  16. SnoSki14
    Things are about to get wild soon. Convection is exploding to our SW now.
  17. SnoSki14
    True. All it takes is a couple hours to drop 2-4"+ amounts.
  18. SnoSki14
    This is rain we're talking about. Haven't people had enough rain this summer. I'm glad things trended drier and the north trend means more severe potential which is more exciting than a rain storm imo. However I still think we get nailed later on. I'd be shocked if we get less than 2"
  19. SnoSki14
    Some models hinting it gets close to Bermuda.
  20. SnoSki14
    Warm front looks to get stuck around central NJ. I see the tornado risk being adjusted a bit further north next update.
  21. SnoSki14
    Getting dicey. Won't take much to bring that risk to our area. Additionally 2-3" seems like a lock even with any northern adjustments. We could get those amounts in an hour.
  22. SnoSki14
    We'll get tornadoes instead.
  23. SnoSki14
    That's where I'm leaning. Less rain more severe potential.
  24. SnoSki14
    There likely will. The rains are from a once powerful tropical system not a nor'easter. The 10"+ amounts in PA happen in 6-10hrs.
  25. SnoSki14
    That's all it takes sometimes to get 6"+ rains especially when you're getting 1-2" per hour rates.
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