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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Things are gonna get a lot more active next week. Big south'easter possible just before Halloween. Lots of cooler, easterly flow though we do warm sector Monday hard. Think 80F to 50F type transition possible Monday-Tuesday.
  2. Well it's been July like since July so I hope eventually there's some climo. Warmest fall on record for most places in the northeast through today.
  3. Just an absolute scorcher since August. Even a return to normal would feel cold given current anomalies. Very scary times we're looking living in. I imagine within a decade or two numerous 80s in October will be the norm with 90+ temperatures possible.
  4. I think we get warm sectored Monday pretty hard and then flip a lot colder by Tuesday. Like mid 70s to low 50s type of deal.
  5. Yeah probably the case though anything that far out is tough to diagnose.
  6. If I could choose I'd have all my cold & snow from Nov 1-Jan 15. Lowest sun angle, holiday season, little daylight. Of course normally it's the back half that gives us the cold/snows.
  7. It definitely will be too much. When you flip from extreme drought to flooding there will be problems.
  8. Strong coastal signal for next week though not sure where it'll end up. EPS definitely has more of a +PNA showing up late October into early November.
  9. No offense but if it were the reverse right now you would say the pattern would change in time and cause a mild, snowfree winter. I personally think we're going to an AN temp winter with near normal snows though that's highly dependent on blocking.
  10. Foliage is well behind schedule. Will probably go well into November this year.
  11. That just confirms the warm start. Maybe things will change mid November but that's way out there. Speaking of warm, next 2 days will approach 80F again.
  12. I think the evidence is pretty clear then and currently November looks to start AN. Not as warm as October of course but still mild relative to normal.
  13. During a La Nina with a strongly negative fall PDO?
  14. A warm fall Oct/Nov guarantees a warm winter. We have to accept that winters will be warm from now on but that's doesn't mean we can't get a lot of snow still.
  15. If the right conditions are in place this winter the current warmth could add fuel to the fire. SSTs are at record highs. After Dec 2015's insane warmth we got the Jan blizzard. Big IF though and we'll need plenty of blocking.
  16. The same conditions that have led to very warm Winters also lead to blizzards. Well above normal water temps, AN moisture in the air. All it takes is a favorable 1-2 week interval and boom. So I see plenty more blizzards in the future. Eventually the warming will be too much and we'll end up with 34-36F rainstorms but not yet.
  17. Very not used to these cooler temperatures even though they're barely normal. Good news is more 70s on the way.
  18. Yes. Had to turn on the heat this morning but the rest of the work week looks stellar.
  19. They can only ignore the problem for so long. When the voters start talking they'll shift their stance otherwise they'll lose. Many red states are at huge risk from climate change impacts. However I can easily see Republicans go full eco-fascism and use climate change to ramp up immigration policies.
  20. I see a lot of dreary, stagnant days with this pattern. Cooler highs with well AN lows.
  21. Who uses a day 10 Euro run. Just go with EPS
  22. Temperatures are barely BN but it feels so much colder due to how its been.
  23. Get ready for more depressing weather. Probably lots of clouds and stagnant temperatures in the 50s/60s all day.
  24. A very warm winter is a lock but blocking could still create snowfall opportunities. I don't think we'll ever see a cold winter again.
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