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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    EPS looked better tonight. WPO & AO/NAO looked good however I would still rather be in New England than here for snows/cold.
  2. SnoSki14
    The -PNA will be costly unless the Atlantic blocking is very strong. As soon as ensembles back off on the blocking the SE ridge will rage. You can try to put lipstick on a pig but things still look crappy. MJO also showing signs of halting in phase 7.
  3. SnoSki14
    Pattern still looks like crap. Basically March like all winter long. Better for New England
  4. SnoSki14
    Agree this time. Pattern looks like trash. Maybe it won't be a blowtorch but it's definitely not a snowy pattern
  5. SnoSki14
    The western trough will be a problem until wavelengths change. Wouldn't be surprised if March ends up as the coldest/snowiest month.
  6. SnoSki14
    Nothing Nina about this pattern.
  7. SnoSki14
    Tornado threat later on?
  8. SnoSki14
    If you have to compare it to December 2015 a +11 month then you've already lost the argument.
  9. SnoSki14
    I'm already at 60F, the warm temps are coming
  10. SnoSki14
    I wouldn't bet the farm on that.
  11. SnoSki14
    It's not gonna snow right now so enjoy the warm weather. Don't worry too much about the long range.
  12. SnoSki14
    We'll get another tornado before we see more snow
  13. SnoSki14
    It'll feel like the Arctic compared to them. Wouldn't be shocked to see some 80F readings there.
  14. SnoSki14
    LR still looks like crap. The only good thing is the very positive EPO goes away. Strong Atlantic blocking would do wonders in this pattern. Maybe it won't be a 2015 blowtorch but it still sucks. I think we'll get a favorable period in Jan and then March like 2018 though nowhere as severe.
  15. SnoSki14
    Not as blow torchy either. We sort of get back fronted as the main heat surge focuses towards the Midwest. Certainly a possibility.
  16. SnoSki14
    We've seen time and time again how the supposed ENSO state has not played ball with other factors aka deconstructive interference. Case in point December should theoretically be the coldest month of a Nina but clearly that won't be the case. We'll def have to keep an eye on the EPO/MJO moving forward because they could fail to materialize in a favorable way as we've seen time and time again.
  17. SnoSki14
    It can't get much worse.
  18. SnoSki14
    The warming trend is very real though. December has been a torch averaged over the past decade. Fastest temperature rise of any winter month.
  19. SnoSki14
    Well I guess we're back to our single snow squall winter then.
  20. SnoSki14
    Pretty high amplitude MJO mid December onward. Does look like it's going to 8 but we've seen these head fakes before. Wonder if we'll start seeing changing on the modeling soon
  21. SnoSki14
    Welcome to our new climate change related paradigm.
  22. SnoSki14
    What a blowtorch mid December wow. Widespread 60s and 70s across entire country.
  23. SnoSki14
    I suppose we could also be in a prolonged unfavorable phase that'll last several years. Like a warm version on the 80s/90s. The +EPO has been a mainstay.
  24. SnoSki14
    Yeah sure but I'm not too sure it'll be that simple
  25. SnoSki14
    70s incoming
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