SnoSki14

Get ready for 80s after the 15th. Hints at 2012 style ridging for the east.

Same thing all winter, lack of blocking. Nonstop +AO. -EPO was able to prevent a disaster of a winter but wasn't strong enough to give us a 13-15 winter either. Too much -PNA as well

That was a nice perk.

The timing stinks with this given marginal air mass. Obvious stat padder, wouldn't be surprised if it's just white rain.

Another sucky winter in the books.

Very potent cutter

There's 6-7 months of this stuff coming up unless you're only talking about the 60-70F range.

70s moving into those areas. Crazy

2008 was still far worse of course when you factor inflation. 4.50 is definitely a trigger point though with over 5 being major start of reductions.

People also get drawn to those people when everything around them is crumbling. The strong-man leaders exploit those weaknesses and often succeed. Even now our own wannabe dictator still has a massive following (cult-like) and would probably get re-elected if he ran again.

Additionally Atlantic SSTs are very positive. Another tropical threat or two seems very likely this season with strong SE ridge Severe weather season will be active too

Looks like a real cold March coming up.

Who cares if the EPO is favorable if there's no Atlantic blocking. It just means the cold gets dumped west as the SE ridge amplifies. Also cold month? I see a couple 70+ days ahead and then seasonal to AN afterwards with a couple colder days mixed in. The Atlantic blocking & +PNA shown was just a headfake and transitory. Also I'm not sure what Doorman is smoking. How will that lead to a coastal track exactly? There's no blocking to force the low to the coast. There's a better chance on the 9th. CMC has a little snow with it

The lack of Greenland blocking has been very disappointing. Positive AO/NAO most of winter

The 10-20th period looks interesting. EPO supplying cold air and there's some western ridging. Even a bit of Atlantic blocking too.

It's your own fault for responding

Hopefully not. Cold in mid-late March is cloudy, usually with a chilly rain & low 40s.

It can take several weeks to see the effects. A strongly negative NAO/AO late March & April wouldn't surprise me.

I'm willing to bet we hit 80 in March. There's no blocking and a strong -PNA is likely.

Our severe weather season has been a lot more active lately and it should continue. More flooding and tornado threats

Dramatic much?

What did it show for March?

Luckily temps have mainly hovered around 31-32F to limit icing here though a glaze on colder surfaces is present. A couple degrees colder and it would've been a major problem.

32/20 which is concerning. If temperatures fall to 28-29F there would be significant icing.

GEFS picking up on it. Less -EPO more -AO and it's causing early March to trend colder. A neutral/negative PNA & negative AO is a good cold/snow signal for March.