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Bigbald

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Everything posted by Bigbald

  1. Bigbald
    What follows on the next front ain't bad either (Jan 7). One of the best op runs in the last 3 years for east tn, even if pure fantasy ha!
  2. Bigbald
    Pretty much, you can get there via the AT at Sam's Gap, about a 7 or 8 mile one way trip. Or you can go in from the other side at Spivey Gap...both are pack a lunch type hikes/runs with some hefty gain. Or one can stay at Wolf Ridge and basically walk right up to it after maybe a half mile. All that home development in the shadow of BB is unfortunate but its here to stay at this point.
  3. Bigbald
    Really hard not to be excited about the next 2 weeks +, the warms up look more/less seasonal to me, at least on the 12z Cmc and 12z gfs, although the latter has a couple warmer days in the Jan 12ish range before meeting another really cold front. I've lucked into booking a cabin in Wolf Ridge with the right cabin weather, located just under Big Bald next weekend. It looks like I might get some snow showers and definite cold.
  4. Bigbald
    Selfishly speaking, would gladly take a blend of the 0z CMc low and 0z GFS low placement for a solid KTRi score on early next week storm.
  5. Bigbald
    Saw these on Facebook Snowshoe today. I was up there Dec 21-22 and they had a 30 inch base. I am no snowshoe expert but I wonder if they've ever had to shut completely down in the month of January.
  6. Bigbald
    A good learning opportunity for me and potentially others. Depicted below is the 2nd front on both 12z cmc and gfs at roughly the same time. Cmc does not drive the front through the apps but seems to hang up. 12z gfs pushes it past the Apps and results in a much colder look. What's the difference? The angle of the front on cmc driving more south/southwest (texas) (?).
  7. Bigbald
    Hopefully the 12z comes to fruition through 250, lots of single digit lows in there several days post front. Hopefully this can give the ski industry a chance to play catch up, which is taking an absolute drumming right now even as far north as places like Snowshoe.
  8. Bigbald
    Downright frigid through 240
  9. Bigbald
    Have no idea if the Canadian is right but that would be some high ratio snow with some single digits that follow for east tn after Jan 3rd. Glad to see that cold is back on the table for Jan.
  10. Bigbald
    Great storm for New England, some big totals.
  11. Bigbald
    18z gfs looks overall very chilly, with really only a 2-3 day warm up jan 7-9, followed by another stout cold front dropping.
  12. Bigbald
    Sobering forecast. Where does this December rank in terms of all time warmth, its got to be up there for Ktri, especially by the end of the month.
  13. Bigbald
    Similiar thoughts here, winter means alot to me. I will schedule most every free minute sking, hiking, or chasing a cold snowy setting. My expectations probably differ from those in the forum in that I can get to 4000' plus elevation across multiple states with about an hour drive, something i try to take advantage of. I definitely don't like to punt the month of December for the high mountains, meteorological winter or not. I am pretty sure I haven't read anyone post winter cancel either (?).
  14. Bigbald
    Seems to be pretty strong agreement with 0z gem and 6z gfs for extreme warmth in the 7-12 day territory. Not feeling great about this winter when we start eating into January.
  15. Bigbald
    Merry Torchmas. I don't see how Wolf Ridge and some of these smaller ski resorts stay in business. It's hard for to see sustained snow making opportunities before January by the looks of the last few runs of the GFS and Canadian, its really balmy the week after xmas. I am trying to remember if Wolf has been closed the entire month of December before (?).
  16. Bigbald
    In normal starving times I'd be glued to this storm, almost all the 12z suites had it in some form or fashion, some more a bit north. I believe we must be collectively burned out ha
  17. Bigbald
    Be a hard one to swallow if SWVA misses along that cusp again. NAM suites have played around with this depiction alot it the last 96 hours. Afraid it might be right for mby
  18. Bigbald
    Wow, 80 mph gusts. Those suckers aren't the easiest things to chase since they can come in on the cusp of bad weather. I tried chasing the last one up camp creek bald, only to encounter snow and ice, and than I worried getting off the mtn without tree debree killing me. Have decided it's best to hunker down in place in an area without trees. I've just not prepped enough to ride one out, but on the bucket list
  19. Bigbald
    Any takers on directional rime ice forms? Shown is a picture of some rime ice following a a storm on big bald from a few weeks back. The wind was really heavy from the south face of the mtn. A buddy of mine suggested that what is giving the rime ice the distinctive directional look was that the moisture hits the bare side of the post and the wind is wrapping it around the backside, accumulating over time in the protected backside area. But this was a random guess. We're we wrong?
  20. Bigbald
    Talking about this???
  21. Bigbald
    Echo this, there has been some dramatic easterly shifts on the gfs suites. It went from running the low west of the apps, to the spine (transfer to asheville), to the 6z that looks just east of the apps to me. It still looks like ktri need the cold to push further east (still our downfall?) but interesting. Is there a mechanism that can extend the cold east by 100 miles or so?
  22. Bigbald
    Decadal storm
  23. Bigbald
    12z downright gaudy for you middle and west folks Edit: this would be the frame to the wall depiction
  24. Bigbald
    And this sentiment has not changed much through 160....great looking 12z gfs for Memphis
  25. Bigbald
    Some of these meso scale models have been slowly walking the ice south and east along the swva border with Kentucky, about 1-5 miles a run it seems like. Really interested to see how geophysics play out on some of the mountains of swva.
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