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Bigbald
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Everything posted by Bigbald
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Nice little NW jog, hopefully not too many more of these.
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And that's with the quad state ripper:
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18z GFS picks up storm, similiar positioning as others, brings in the bitter cold after it but not as deep as CMC. Great agreement amongst the models sans the finer details.
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At this point it's kinda like "what could it hurt!?" Ha
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Damn, I am excited for you guys in eastern middle TN. Wow
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I feel like there is some support for it, 12z Euro has the storm, I think the last few icon runs has as well, most modeling has shown it off and on the last 3-4 days. I think Candadian jumped on it first. Let's see if it moves toward run to run consistency but I like it.
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The period of next weekend continues to look intriguing. 12z CMC drops a 1050 high out of Montana and suppresses a storm just to our south, although Chattanooga would get scraped. Prior 12z cmc run had this compromise I think, although the storm was more modest. After that it's pipe bursting cold. Suppose the high is a little weaker and the cold front a little slower it would be a great setup for alot of us, from my novice eyes (paging Carver). Edit to add: could Miami really get that cold?
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0zGfs track looks just like WPC forecast. We may have removed one hiccup from the equation if this is a new shift
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Rgem gonna save us all. 40 hr wintry event lol. Let's hope it's consistency is telling.
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That damn rip that starts in the great valley is like a tear in the time-space continuum. I don't even think Snowshoe would see precip, it's almost like an eyewall in a hurricane. What will keep me watching till the bitter end is my disbelief that the storm track is right up the Apps.
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18z Rgem looked good again. It's holding consistent.
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How does the RGEM resolve this issue?
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There is so much going on in that jan 20-28 range that it is hard to keep up. This has been an awesome 12z suite.
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Dang that's a pretty looking run for western NC mountains. To rehash 12z, it's basically a UKIE, CMC, RGEM battle against euro, gfs, nam ? Would this be roughly correct?
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We can't even pin down the exact track of the storm so I wouldn't be too crushed about snow holes just yet
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That was a very sexy 12z Canadian run out through 240 with some major cold coming at the end. Just a super active pattern with multiple threats and cold.
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Is it really though? CMC was a good hit and track for east tn, and so was its short range model. Still plenty of time for this to trend good.
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Alot of the runs 48 hr ago had a nice clean miller A look for at least a few suites. Hopefully we are returning to this look (?)
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What is pulling the low up and almost straight vertical due north from lower exteeme southeast alabama? If we could get rid of that wiggle most of us in East tn would be in great shape.
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Late next week looks interesting. 12Z ICON and 12 CMC (see images below) both have a solid setup, 12z gfs is there but less robust.
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I feel like this is groundhog day for how many ways we can attempt to eff the great Valley? Wow I would I've guessed we were golden with that low placement off Franklin County, Florida.
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This is normally a great look for Tennessee snow.
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At ktri I havent been able to get myself too high for this for all the freaking reasons you mention, man we are really up against the big 3 here (dry slot, downslope, warm nose), anyone of which could wreck us.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Bigbald replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Debating on chasing this one to Boone, NC. Alot of hand ringing about the prospect of seeing a 24 plus inch snow, which is probably a once in a decade type snow, but also about the prospect of being able to drive back to K-TRI for work next Tuesday or so. Dilema!
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