SnowenOutThere
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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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My Greatest Creation. Absolutely legendary pull
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I'm more so speaking from a we get the 0z Euro run where its a good foot of snow area wide. I would love a HECS but for now I'm discounting that happening.
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It was more a consolidation than a real shift north or south. Just had more members that ejected the low and had a storm which appears as a shift north.
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What time do you think we need these models to hold through to start getting legit excited? My benchmark is inside tomorrow 12z runs as The Storm That Shall Not Be Named fell apart five days before it occurred so I'll wait till tomorrow.
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Im sure you'll find a way to manage with only 2 feet of snow.
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No Words
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My God
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Its an odd duck H5 wise but gets us into snow by this time period
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Ukmet will not be as far north as its 0z run. Still ejects the SW but doesn't phase it as far back so should be better for all of us.
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GEFS looks like it should be improved to some extent
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Funniest part is it almost pulls it off but remains too positively tilted to capture the low. Ironically there is a larger storm out there.
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Hour 150 with light snow exiting the region
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Whoever is riding the mixing line on the CMC is in for the time of their lives. Its actually not too dissimilar than that GFS sounding from its 60 inch snowstorm in PA
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We broke Tropical Tidbits output scaling
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Almost looks like its going for a triple phase in the plains. Or it could just crush it... NVM
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@stormtracker I believe your services are needed
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Scratch that as others have pointed out it looks to phasing with the NS instead of being killed by it. This is exactly how the new CMC at 0z got us a complete ice storm as it jacked the whole track way north. Though the 12z CMC seems to be a bit further south so it may crush us
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CMC so far with a bit less suppressed of a south west though I doubt it fully can climb to us.
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I was focused on the out west interactions but honestly I liked what the GFS did where we live. It showed another path to a snowstorm even if we fail our golden route. I like this second failsafe situation where we use the NS to create an eastern low pressure with all of the moisture to our south. Hopefully it won't need to come to this but I like that its there.
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Lmao you're doing great I'm just here ranting about maps. Speaking of which we flirt for so long with a phase before it starts to retrograde back west. Though... I think it might setup for a different storm later with this look.
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We are SO CLOSE. Regardless of what happens this run has been a major improvement over 6z
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Next 20 hours determines if the GFS can pull through. The SW is so close to ejecting east and we need the bit of energy north of it to help it instead of cut it off
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We don't have the same piece of NS coming down to help lift it out of the SW that the Euro has. I doubt we get a similar evolution to our big hits though an improvement from its own baseline is possible.
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The resident UVA poster approves of this change
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Physics based GFS has the SW a bit more east and less confluence in front. Generally seems to moving in the right direction but need to see what happens in the next 20 hours.
