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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Might be setting up something pretty cool way out in fantasy range though
  2. SnowenOutThere
    12z Euro seemed pretty close to the 6z Euro Ai solution but a little further north which hurt us
  3. SnowenOutThere
    Can't wait for their cancelation tomorrow, its my "hard" class day too!
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Ah, so inaccurate thermometers are the new underwater volcanoes.
  5. SnowenOutThere
    Definitely fair to say anyone southeast of Fredrick County busted pretty badly even by the more conservative morning NWS predictions.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    On the drive back from the catoctins there definitely seemed to be a fall off in snow amounts just past ashburn on I-15, glad you managed to get into that. Personally got to. .75 without the ending bands accounted for yet, hoping to clinch an inch.
  7. SnowenOutThere
    On the drive it started snowing well near point of rocks before really ripping from mid Fredrick county onwards, only started sticking when I got to the trail though.
  8. SnowenOutThere
    Briefly had some white rain in Reston as a batch of yellows came through even with the temp at 37. Bodes well for when rates improve later today but I’m heading out to the catoctins now.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    Thinking I'll go on a hike near the catocotins late morning today to try to ensure no matter what happens in the low lands I'm able to have a nice winters day.
  10. SnowenOutThere
    36.9 and light rain near Reston. Can really see the radar beginning to pop, just need the temps to crash…
  11. SnowenOutThere
    My ambient weather station has me down to 33.1 which seems suspiciously low.
  12. SnowenOutThere
    RGEM finally caving with a further southeast rain snow line.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Seems like I live in nearly the exact same spot you used to, will say what you said about the two snowfall "jumps" still holds up. Despite being right next to Dulles distance wise they always seem to do significantly better in these setups than my backyard. Though I do wonder if that second jump in snowfall will continue to move further northwest over time...
  14. SnowenOutThere
    So would you say out by Reston is closer to the 3-6 zone than the 1-3 south of I-66 one your forecast had? Just had a little bit of trouble figuring out where each zone reached from your forecast, but either way its always awesome to have actual mets provide input in these threads!
  15. SnowenOutThere
    I would argue the main difference with the HRRR is the fact that its qdf is on the extreme low end outside of that one band
  16. SnowenOutThere
    Got 6-8, we're locked in now
  17. SnowenOutThere
    NAM 3k looks really good, thermal boundary way south out of the way even for CAPE. Though FV3 is further north...
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Around .1 just south of Reston. Seemed like most of the good blotches went a little to the north, either way can’t complain about a nice snow shower
  19. SnowenOutThere
    It looks like it should be good. Need to wait for actual confirmation
  20. SnowenOutThere
    Do you have the vort or 500mb maps? Can’t quite tell from the surface map if that’s going out to sea or gonna climb the coast
  21. SnowenOutThere
    Quick, someone make the old wheel spin thing!
  22. SnowenOutThere
    UKMET has a good event Sunday with around 3 inches areawide
  23. SnowenOutThere
    Depends on if the northern vort can successfully phase in for us. May be able to pull it off
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Theres a northern shortwave that wasn't there on the 0z run as well. Im not sure what will happen but it is a different variation than 0z, which makes sense
  25. SnowenOutThere
    does have slightly less energy out west than its legendary 0z run but still should be great.
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