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WXNewton

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Everything posted by WXNewton

  1. WXNewton
    I would take the UKMET with a grain of salt, it shifted several hundred miles back and forth last storm in 2-3 runs. Players are on the field and this thing has legs with some ensemble support. Def, going to take another day or two to see how everything comes into alignment.
  2. WXNewton
    I think this will come down to some of the mesoscale models with-in the 12-36 hr timeframe before we really know the dynamics of the ULL. Globals are going to paint a broad path but the hi-res models will hopefully nail any enhancement starting on the lee-side. Long ways to go with many solutions still on the table.
  3. WXNewton
    00z Euro kuchera map...
  4. WXNewton
    As long as we don't have to go for a hailmary on 4th and 15 with 10 seconds to go!
  5. WXNewton
    So basically 6-12" from Murphy to Manteo!
  6. WXNewton
    Only change really was a tad less in extreme SW-NC and extreme western SC
  7. WXNewton
    Hope we can score at least a field goal!
  8. WXNewton
    Looks temps in the upper teens for most. I was figuring 18:1?
  9. WXNewton
    That looks really close to lunchtime run.
  10. WXNewton
    Can you post individual panels?
  11. WXNewton
    18z AI Euro looks really close to 12z, just a hair east. Ratios would be about 15:1 with the temps being modeled. So these totals would be a couple inches more.
  12. WXNewton
    18z AI GFS trended wetter.
  13. WXNewton
    NWS blend of Models...
  14. WXNewton
    Spin up a meso-low on the lee-side and we will be in business. Hard to forecast those,but if we can get that to work out, typically there will be heavy snow in our area and then again on the coast.
  15. WXNewton
    Looking back at the trend of the 12z GFS, I expect it to look pretty good at 18z with one more tick back to the west and closing off sooner. We will soon see!
  16. WXNewton
    I like these storms that pop up and we are just a day or two away from getting NAM'ed
  17. WXNewton
    That was a great storm, was under forecast for foothill and NW Piedmont. If I remember correctly a meso-low formed on the East side of the apps.
  18. WXNewton
    Now that's a look!
  19. WXNewton
    The GFS did get snow trying to go back in the foothills this run a little late on the phase but all and all good trends !
  20. WXNewton
    6z EPS increases totals from 00z
  21. WXNewton
    My Fitbit said I averaged 4hrs and 21 minutes of sleep for the past week, I guess that explains the dark circles around my eyes. The things we do to chase a winter storm potential, most people don't understand why we do what we do. It's great to have a community with other folks like myself that I can relate to and share the same passion with!
  22. WXNewton
    Pouring sleet!
  23. WXNewton
    This last band is definitely heavy sleet in Newton. Starting to feel better about any potential power of outages.
  24. WXNewton
    16/13 sleet and pixie dust
  25. WXNewton
    Exactly! The ensembles have a strong signal for many!
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