WXNewton
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Heavy s ow falling in Newton! Temp 35 on the car.
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Snow mixing in now in Newton.
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Sounding for hickory from hrr in the heaviest precip, is this an all snow sounding or more sleet?
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improvements on RGEM for foothills and NW Piedmont.
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Here was 12z for comparison, did tick nw some but manly the band just produced heavier rates on this run and was more wide spread.
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13z hrr
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Of course it's going to change, no one here has the answers to what the upcoming pattern will bring. At this point following the ensembles is the way to go, but that will drive you crazy because it seems like the GFS and Euro always do the opposite of each other lol. I am right there with you it's coming, oh it will be here, and the next thing you know we are still looking 7- 10 days out.
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Good trends on 06 GEFS with more wedging later next week.
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The 12z brought in a good thump.
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Better run for Catawba and Alexander counties.
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The footprint of snow lines up pretty well when comparing the NAM and RGEM. The Nam is more robost with the snow totals from N.NC through VA. One big difference is the RGEM is showing heavier totals in the upstate. That heavier totals in the upstate also line up with the greater accumulations that were show on the RAP model earlier.
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Something about that map just looks off, kind of looks like my 2 year old started coloring on it.
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improvements with precip but looks warm, it's a delicate balance.
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Low back over gulf this run, but man that thing looks ragged!
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hr 21 that low over Arkansas is 3 mb weaker than 18z maybe that will help.
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During the height of the precip it's colder too.
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How did the HRRR do on the upper level storm that went down east a week or so ago?
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Like throwing a dart blind folded.
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Yes much improved over 18z
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Just a few hours later it's snowing good though and the run looks better than 18z.
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Nothing like a good ole 50+ degree snowstorm, the latest hrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr is running a little on the warm side.
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I don't know much about the ICON, but that sucker has been rock stead on its output, it's either really right or really wrong!
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Still a pretty big difference between RGEM and 12km NAM, here's hr 36 and hr 39.
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The High over the NE built in a touch further south this run compared to 12z. Just small details at this point not really much more to go off of.
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Actually trended a here further south and looked a little weaker.
