WXNewton

25/21 in Newton approaching an inch now.

30.8/21 in Newton, Snow sticking to the deck and house tops are white. Had a wind gust of 17 mph about 5 mins ago.

Flurries in Newton 32.4/19

Don't sleep now, this is what we have been waiting for!

33/22 Here in Newton, just stepped outside and wind has really picked up. Dropped 1.5 degrees in the past 30 mins. Radar returns look great to the south.

I am in Newton too, I think that's a low call. That initial push should drop several inches according to the hrr, I would be shocked if we changed that quick. That's some heavy moisture coming and we could easily pick up that amount in 1-2 hours. Hoping for a few more inches than forecasted above^

Through the Catawba Valley this map doesn't even come close to matching the liquid equivalent that most models are showing. His freezing rain map only has .05"-.15" of freezing rain. This would only capture about .5-.75 inches of precip falling to match these totals.

Most models seem to be dropping anywhere from 1.25-1.5" of precip across much of the piedmont to the mountains. Most of this falling in the low-mid 20s will make for a travel nightmare regardless on whether the precip is all Snow, Sleet, or Freezing Rain. It's been a long time since we've seen a wedge this stout and having precip amounts being modeled at well over an inch. I think this thing means business and I am looking forward to watching it all unfold from just a pure weather enthusiast's perspective.

40/28 in Newton, 4-7 mph wind out of the NE

Several models seem to be picking up on a potential finger of moisture developing Saturday morning and throughout the day. I think that's something to keep an eye on, usually these big storms have that feature a half day or so before the main event. Would also keep Saturday's high temps on the lower side.

I've seen the GFS OP do this many times in the 3-4 day range where it wants to run the low right through the heart of the wedge. I believe like many times before as we get closer it will correct this and show more of a smoother rotation down and round the bottom boundary of the wedge as depicted by the Euro/EPS. Also I expect the Nam to show some funky outputs over the next day or two. I would stick with Ensembles at this point and would recommend using caution when taking any OP run for face value, especially when the low pressure placement and movement doesn't seem realistic.

Good 8" now in Foscoe, turnover happened about 5:15.

Thundersnow about 10mins ago off hwy 105.

Guessing 3.5-4" in Foscoe. Probably 2-3" fell in the past hour.

Staying in Foscoe, started ripping fat flakes about 5:15.

12z Para GFS trying to bring the goods to western NC

Absolutely pouring sleet here out of that heaviest band in Catawba County. Some fat flakes mixed in too.

60/40 Sleet/snow now

light snow in Newton

Nice CAD sig on 12z Euro but just not showing much cold. That low above Minnesota looks like its really hurting the cold air from being pulled into the system. This thing will jump around for a couple of days but at least the storm still there.

Only looked at EPS on tropicaltidbits, there is a definite lowering of heights in the NE. Looks like a step in the right direction to me.

in-situ CAD can be sneaky little events for a couple of hours before warm air overtakes. If moisture does come in and temps dip below 32 Monday morning, I could see bridges and over passes being tricky right around rush hour. Tomorrow morning and Sunday morning lows will really cool the ground surfaces down.

one thing to watch for is around day break on Monday if you live north of 85 around 77 and I40 models are showing some light precip with temps near freezing.

12z GFS says hello VA, Para GFS I am staying suppressed. I can live with this, ensembles are the way to go for the next 3-4 days.

I am ready, let's do this thing play by play starting at 11-1:30 today. I am pretty sure the UKMET will save us and just wait until this storm gets into the NAM time-frame and don't forget about the RGEM, you know it's only going to be about 35 degrees colder than the rest of the models.